Abrdn European Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| ASLI Stock | 26.10 1.05 3.87% |
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of abrdn European Logistics on the next trading day is expected to be 26.62 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.20 and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.00. Abrdn Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At the present time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Abrdn European's share price is at 51. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Abrdn European, making its price go up or down. Momentum 51
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Abrdn European hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of abrdn European Logistics from the perspective of Abrdn European response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of abrdn European Logistics on the next trading day is expected to be 26.62 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.20 and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.00. Abrdn European after-hype prediction price | GBX 26.05 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Abrdn |
Abrdn European Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Abrdn price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Abrdn using various technical indicators. When you analyze Abrdn charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Abrdn European Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 23rd of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of abrdn European Logistics on the next trading day is expected to be 26.62 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.20, mean absolute percentage error of 0.11, and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.00.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Abrdn Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Abrdn European's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Abrdn European Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Abrdn European | Abrdn European Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Abrdn European Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Abrdn European's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Abrdn European's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 25.33 and 27.92, respectively. We have considered Abrdn European's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Abrdn European stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Abrdn European stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.2005 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0475 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2034 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0079 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 12.0 |
Predictive Modules for Abrdn European
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as abrdn European Logistics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Abrdn European After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Abrdn European at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Abrdn European or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Abrdn European, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Abrdn European Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Abrdn European's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Abrdn European's historical news coverage. Abrdn European's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 24.75 and 27.35, respectively. We have considered Abrdn European's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Abrdn European is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of abrdn European Logistics is based on 3 months time horizon.
Abrdn European Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Abrdn European is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Abrdn European backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Abrdn European, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.08 | 1.30 | 0.05 | 0.09 | 7 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
26.10 | 26.05 | 0.19 |
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Abrdn European Hype Timeline
abrdn European Logistics is presently traded for 26.10on London Exchange of UK. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.09. Abrdn is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 26.05. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.19%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.08%. The volatility of related hype on Abrdn European is about 115.04%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 26.01. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.47. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. abrdn European Logistics last dividend was issued on the 15th of September 2025. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Abrdn European to cross-verify your projections.Abrdn European Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Abrdn European's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Abrdn European's future price movements. Getting to know how Abrdn European's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Abrdn European may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BVC | Batm Advanced Communications | 0.48 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 3.53 | (5.36) | 12.31 | |
| 0XGF | Avino Silver Gold | (0.20) | 4 per month | 2.95 | 0.24 | 8.53 | (5.56) | 16.35 | |
| 0GA3 | Telecom Italia SpA | (0.01) | 7 per month | 1.40 | 0.09 | 3.57 | (3.45) | 9.93 | |
| ISLN | iShares Physical Silver | (0.45) | 3 per month | 2.02 | 0.28 | 5.90 | (3.07) | 12.59 | |
| ATM | AfriTin Mining | 0.60 | 2 per month | 2.89 | 0.11 | 7.19 | (5.00) | 25.05 | |
| 0A61 | Discovery Silver Corp | 0.67 | 2 per month | 2.35 | 0.21 | 7.33 | (4.13) | 15.01 | |
| AAZ | Anglo Asian Mining | (10.00) | 4 per month | 2.62 | 0.14 | 6.67 | (4.55) | 21.80 | |
| 0JDO | Iridium Communications | (0.13) | 5 per month | 2.54 | 0.05 | 5.28 | (4.52) | 13.25 |
Other Forecasting Options for Abrdn European
For every potential investor in Abrdn, whether a beginner or expert, Abrdn European's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Abrdn Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Abrdn. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Abrdn European's price trends.Abrdn European Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Abrdn European stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Abrdn European could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Abrdn European by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Abrdn European Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Abrdn European stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Abrdn European shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Abrdn European stock market strength indicators, traders can identify abrdn European Logistics entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 46397.63 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.66) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.96 | |||
| Day Median Price | 26.9 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 26.63 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (1.32) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (1.05) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 51.24 |
Abrdn European Risk Indicators
The analysis of Abrdn European's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Abrdn European's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting abrdn stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.8177 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.9967 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.3 | |||
| Variance | 1.69 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.68 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.9934 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.01) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Abrdn European
The number of cover stories for Abrdn European depends on current market conditions and Abrdn European's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Abrdn European is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Abrdn European's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
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Abrdn European Short Properties
Abrdn European's future price predictability will typically decrease when Abrdn European's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of abrdn European Logistics often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Abrdn European's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Abrdn European's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 412.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 25 M |
Additional Tools for Abrdn Stock Analysis
When running Abrdn European's price analysis, check to measure Abrdn European's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Abrdn European is operating at the current time. Most of Abrdn European's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Abrdn European's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Abrdn European's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Abrdn European to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.