ASML Holding Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Regression
| ASMLF Stock | USD 1,377 37.08 2.77% |
The Simple Regression forecasted value of ASML Holding NV on the next trading day is expected to be 1,248 with a mean absolute deviation of 52.90 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3,227. ASML Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of ASML Holding's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength index (RSI) of ASML Holding's pink sheet price is roughly 67. This suggests that the pink sheet is rather overbought by investors as of 22nd of January 2026. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling ASML, making its price go up or down. Momentum 67
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using ASML Holding hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of ASML Holding NV from the perspective of ASML Holding response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of ASML Holding NV on the next trading day is expected to be 1,248 with a mean absolute deviation of 52.90 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3,227. ASML Holding after-hype prediction price | USD 1376.84 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
ASML |
ASML Holding Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine ASML price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for ASML using various technical indicators. When you analyze ASML charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
ASML Holding Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 23rd of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of ASML Holding NV on the next trading day is expected to be 1,248 with a mean absolute deviation of 52.90, mean absolute percentage error of 4,103, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3,227.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict ASML Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that ASML Holding's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
ASML Holding Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest ASML Holding | ASML Holding Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
ASML Holding Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting ASML Holding's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. ASML Holding's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 1,245 and 1,251, respectively. We have considered ASML Holding's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of ASML Holding pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent ASML Holding pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 126.4301 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 52.8998 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0475 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 3226.8858 |
Predictive Modules for ASML Holding
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ASML Holding NV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.ASML Holding After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of ASML Holding at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in ASML Holding or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of ASML Holding, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
ASML Holding Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting ASML Holding's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on ASML Holding's historical news coverage. ASML Holding's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1,374 and 1,380, respectively. We have considered ASML Holding's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
ASML Holding is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of ASML Holding NV is based on 3 months time horizon.
ASML Holding Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as ASML Holding is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading ASML Holding backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with ASML Holding, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.47 | 2.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
1,377 | 1,377 | 0.00 |
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ASML Holding Hype Timeline
ASML Holding NV is presently traded for 1,377. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. ASML is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.47%. %. The volatility of related hype on ASML Holding is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1,377. About 61.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.7. ASML Holding NV recorded earning per share (EPS) of 15.09. The entity last dividend was issued on the 28th of April 2023. The firm had 77:100 split on the 26th of November 2012. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next expected press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ASML Holding to cross-verify your projections.ASML Holding Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to ASML Holding's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict ASML Holding's future price movements. Getting to know how ASML Holding's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how ASML Holding may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SAPGF | SAP SE | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.25) | 1.61 | (3.35) | 6.99 | |
| ASMXF | ASM International NV | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.60 | 0.12 | 5.23 | (3.34) | 11.04 | |
| ASMIY | ASM International NV | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.22 | 0.12 | 7.17 | (3.14) | 14.43 | |
| TOELY | Tokyo Electron Ltd | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.50 | 0.15 | 4.89 | (3.65) | 14.26 | |
| IFNNY | Infineon Technologies AG | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.64 | 0.13 | 4.45 | (3.12) | 11.09 | |
| IFNNF | Infineon Technologies AG | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.99 | 0.11 | 4.94 | (3.54) | 12.00 | |
| ATEYY | Advantest Corp DRC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.28 | 0.10 | 6.00 | (5.43) | 21.36 | |
| ADTTF | Advantest | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.13 | 0.09 | 6.31 | (5.98) | 23.63 | |
| XFABF | X FAB Silicon Foundries | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 4.77 | (5.20) | 17.42 | |
| LSRCF | Lasertec | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.49 | 0.16 | 9.33 | (0.92) | 50.51 |
Other Forecasting Options for ASML Holding
For every potential investor in ASML, whether a beginner or expert, ASML Holding's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. ASML Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in ASML. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying ASML Holding's price trends.ASML Holding Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with ASML Holding pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of ASML Holding could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ASML Holding by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
ASML Holding Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how ASML Holding pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading ASML Holding shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying ASML Holding pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify ASML Holding NV entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
ASML Holding Risk Indicators
The analysis of ASML Holding's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in ASML Holding's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting asml pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.03 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.17 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.72 | |||
| Variance | 7.39 | |||
| Downside Variance | 6.35 | |||
| Semi Variance | 4.7 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.15) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for ASML Holding
The number of cover stories for ASML Holding depends on current market conditions and ASML Holding's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that ASML Holding is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about ASML Holding's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in ASML Pink Sheet
When determining whether ASML Holding NV is a strong investment it is important to analyze ASML Holding's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact ASML Holding's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding ASML Pink Sheet, refer to the following important reports:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ASML Holding to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Comparator module to compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account.