Actelis Networks Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| ASNS Stock | USD 0.49 0.01 1.82% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Actelis Networks on the next trading day is expected to be 0.10 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.42 and the sum of the absolute errors of 25.86. Actelis Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Actelis Networks' share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.98) | EPS Estimate Current Year (6.05) | EPS Estimate Next Year (2.28) | Wall Street Target Price 21 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.13) |
Using Actelis Networks hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Actelis Networks from the perspective of Actelis Networks response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Actelis Networks Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Actelis Networks' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Actelis. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Actelis can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Actelis Networks. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Actelis Networks' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Actelis Networks.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Actelis Networks on the next trading day is expected to be 0.10 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.42 and the sum of the absolute errors of 25.86. Actelis Networks after-hype prediction price | USD 0.61 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Actelis Networks to cross-verify your projections. Actelis Networks Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Actelis price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Actelis using various technical indicators. When you analyze Actelis charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Overlap Studies | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Actelis Networks' financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 2010-12-31 | Previous Quarter 2.3 M | Current Value 1.7 M | Quarterly Volatility 934.4 K |
Actelis Networks Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 3rd of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Actelis Networks on the next trading day is expected to be 0.10 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.42, mean absolute percentage error of 0.27, and the sum of the absolute errors of 25.86.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Actelis Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Actelis Networks' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Actelis Networks Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Actelis Networks | Actelis Networks Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Actelis Networks Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Actelis Networks' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Actelis Networks' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 11.13, respectively. We have considered Actelis Networks' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Actelis Networks stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Actelis Networks stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.8056 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4239 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.1924 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 25.8601 |
Predictive Modules for Actelis Networks
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Actelis Networks. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Actelis Networks
For every potential investor in Actelis, whether a beginner or expert, Actelis Networks' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Actelis Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Actelis. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Actelis Networks' price trends.Actelis Networks Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Actelis Networks stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Actelis Networks could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Actelis Networks by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Actelis Networks Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Actelis Networks' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Actelis Networks' current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Actelis Networks Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Actelis Networks stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Actelis Networks shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Actelis Networks stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Actelis Networks entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Actelis Networks Risk Indicators
The analysis of Actelis Networks' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Actelis Networks' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting actelis stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 9.0 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 14.07 | |||
| Variance | 197.92 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Additional Tools for Actelis Stock Analysis
When running Actelis Networks' price analysis, check to measure Actelis Networks' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Actelis Networks is operating at the current time. Most of Actelis Networks' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Actelis Networks' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Actelis Networks' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Actelis Networks to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.