Asseco Poland Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

ASOZF Stock  USD 64.73  2.04  3.25%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Asseco Poland SA on the next trading day is expected to be 65.91 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.30 and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.47. Asseco Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Asseco Poland's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 17th of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Asseco Poland's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Asseco Poland's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Asseco Poland and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Asseco Poland's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Asseco Poland SA, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Asseco Poland hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Asseco Poland SA from the perspective of Asseco Poland response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Asseco Poland SA on the next trading day is expected to be 65.91 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.30 and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.47.

Asseco Poland after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 64.73  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Asseco Poland to cross-verify your projections.

Asseco Poland Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Asseco price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Asseco using various technical indicators. When you analyze Asseco charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Asseco Poland is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Asseco Poland SA value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Asseco Poland Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 18th of January 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Asseco Poland SA on the next trading day is expected to be 65.91 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.30, mean absolute percentage error of 0.15, and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.47.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Asseco Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Asseco Poland's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Asseco Poland Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Asseco PolandAsseco Poland Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Asseco Poland Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Asseco Poland's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Asseco Poland's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 65.31 and 66.50, respectively. We have considered Asseco Poland's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
64.73
65.91
Expected Value
66.50
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Asseco Poland pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Asseco Poland pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.1916
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.3028
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0047
SAESum of the absolute errors18.4726
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Asseco Poland SA. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Asseco Poland. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Asseco Poland

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Asseco Poland SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
64.1464.7365.32
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
60.9061.4971.20
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Asseco Poland. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Asseco Poland's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Asseco Poland's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Asseco Poland SA.

Other Forecasting Options for Asseco Poland

For every potential investor in Asseco, whether a beginner or expert, Asseco Poland's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Asseco Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Asseco. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Asseco Poland's price trends.

Asseco Poland Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Asseco Poland pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Asseco Poland could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Asseco Poland by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Asseco Poland SA Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Asseco Poland's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Asseco Poland's current price.

Asseco Poland Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Asseco Poland pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Asseco Poland shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Asseco Poland pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Asseco Poland SA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Asseco Poland Risk Indicators

The analysis of Asseco Poland's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Asseco Poland's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting asseco pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Asseco Pink Sheet

Asseco Poland financial ratios help investors to determine whether Asseco Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Asseco with respect to the benefits of owning Asseco Poland security.