Altisource Portfolio Stock Forecast - Simple Regression
| ASPSW Stock | 0.30 0.01 3.23% |
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Altisource Portfolio Solutions on the next trading day is expected to be 0.33 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.46. Altisource Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the value of rsi of Altisource Portfolio's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Altisource Portfolio hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Altisource Portfolio Solutions from the perspective of Altisource Portfolio response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Altisource Portfolio Solutions on the next trading day is expected to be 0.33 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.46. Altisource Portfolio after-hype prediction price | USD 0.38 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Altisource Portfolio Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Altisource price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Altisource using various technical indicators. When you analyze Altisource charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Altisource Portfolio Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Altisource Portfolio Solutions on the next trading day is expected to be 0.33 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.46.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Altisource Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Altisource Portfolio's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Altisource Portfolio Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Altisource Portfolio | Altisource Portfolio Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Altisource Portfolio Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Altisource Portfolio's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Altisource Portfolio's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 9.18, respectively. We have considered Altisource Portfolio's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Altisource Portfolio stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Altisource Portfolio stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.1423 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0403 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0904 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 2.4599 |
Predictive Modules for Altisource Portfolio
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Altisource Portfolio. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Altisource Portfolio's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Altisource Portfolio After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Altisource Portfolio at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Altisource Portfolio or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Altisource Portfolio, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Altisource Portfolio Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Altisource Portfolio's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Altisource Portfolio's historical news coverage. Altisource Portfolio's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.02 and 9.23, respectively. We have considered Altisource Portfolio's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Altisource Portfolio is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Altisource Portfolio is based on 3 months time horizon.
Altisource Portfolio Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Altisource Portfolio is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Altisource Portfolio backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Altisource Portfolio, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.68 | 8.85 | 0.07 | 0.31 | 7 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.30 | 0.38 | 22.50 |
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Altisource Portfolio Hype Timeline
Altisource Portfolio is presently traded for 0.30. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.07, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.31. Altisource is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.38 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price increase on the next news is projected to be 22.5%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.68%. The volatility of related hype on Altisource Portfolio is about 1934.43%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of -0.01. Altisource Portfolio Solutions has accumulated 231.54 M in total debt. Note, when we think about Altisource Portfolio's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.Assuming the 90 days horizon the next projected press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Altisource Portfolio to cross-verify your projections.Altisource Portfolio Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Altisource Portfolio's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Altisource Portfolio's future price movements. Getting to know how Altisource Portfolio's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Altisource Portfolio may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| URBN | Urban Outfitters | (3.24) | 10 per month | 2.98 | 0 | 5.28 | (4.20) | 25.85 | |
| ASTL | Algoma Steel Group | (0.20) | 9 per month | 3.48 | 0.05 | 7.21 | (6.12) | 20.68 | |
| GIII | G III Apparel Group | (1.25) | 12 per month | 1.65 | 0 | 3.85 | (2.62) | 9.35 | |
| MTGRY | Mount Gibson Iron | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.03 | 5.23 | (1.71) | 25.52 | |
| VEOEY | Veolia Environnement SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.05 | (0.08) | 1.61 | (1.87) | 5.08 | |
| TNJIF | Tianjin Capital Environmental | 0.06 | 4 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| PESI | Perma Fix Environmental Svcs | 0.97 | 10 per month | 3.57 | 0.04 | 5.98 | (6.28) | 26.62 | |
| TWIRF | Tree Island Steel | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.45 | (0.04) | 2.13 | (2.04) | 13.42 |
Other Forecasting Options for Altisource Portfolio
For every potential investor in Altisource, whether a beginner or expert, Altisource Portfolio's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Altisource Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Altisource. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Altisource Portfolio's price trends.Altisource Portfolio Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Altisource Portfolio stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Altisource Portfolio could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Altisource Portfolio by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Altisource Portfolio Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Altisource Portfolio stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Altisource Portfolio shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Altisource Portfolio stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Altisource Portfolio Solutions entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 1458.77 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.50) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.97 | |||
| Day Median Price | 0.3 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 0.3 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.01) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.01) |
Altisource Portfolio Risk Indicators
The analysis of Altisource Portfolio's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Altisource Portfolio's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting altisource stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 5.96 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 8.86 | |||
| Variance | 78.57 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Altisource Portfolio
The number of cover stories for Altisource Portfolio depends on current market conditions and Altisource Portfolio's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Altisource Portfolio is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Altisource Portfolio's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
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Additional Tools for Altisource Stock Analysis
When running Altisource Portfolio's price analysis, check to measure Altisource Portfolio's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Altisource Portfolio is operating at the current time. Most of Altisource Portfolio's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Altisource Portfolio's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Altisource Portfolio's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Altisource Portfolio to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.