Astrotech Corp Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression
| ASTC Stock | USD 3.73 0.02 0.54% |
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Astrotech Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 3.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.52. Astrotech Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Astrotech Corp stock prices and determine the direction of Astrotech Corp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Astrotech Corp's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, the relative strength indicator of Astrotech Corp's share price is approaching 49. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Astrotech Corp, making its price go up or down. Momentum 49
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Wall Street Target Price 25 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 7.735 |
Using Astrotech Corp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Astrotech Corp from the perspective of Astrotech Corp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Astrotech Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 3.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.52. Astrotech Corp after-hype prediction price | USD 3.73 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Astrotech Corp Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Astrotech price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Astrotech using various technical indicators. When you analyze Astrotech charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Astrotech Corp Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Astrotech Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 3.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16, mean absolute percentage error of 0.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.52.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Astrotech Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Astrotech Corp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Astrotech Corp Stock Forecast Pattern
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Astrotech Corp Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Astrotech Corp's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Astrotech Corp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.04 and 8.32, respectively. We have considered Astrotech Corp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Astrotech Corp stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Astrotech Corp stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.0315 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.156 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0443 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 9.519 |
Predictive Modules for Astrotech Corp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Astrotech Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Astrotech Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Astrotech Corp After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Astrotech Corp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Astrotech Corp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Astrotech Corp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Astrotech Corp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Astrotech Corp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Astrotech Corp's historical news coverage. Astrotech Corp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.19 and 8.71, respectively. We have considered Astrotech Corp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Astrotech Corp is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Astrotech Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Astrotech Corp Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Astrotech Corp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Astrotech Corp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Astrotech Corp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.09 | 4.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
3.73 | 3.73 | 0.00 |
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Astrotech Corp Hype Timeline
Astrotech Corp is presently traded for 3.73. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Astrotech is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.09%. %. The volatility of related hype on Astrotech Corp is about 249000.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.73. About 19.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.35. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Astrotech Corp recorded a loss per share of 8.38. The entity last dividend was issued on the 16th of October 2017. The firm had 1:30 split on the 5th of December 2022. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Astrotech Corp to cross-verify your projections.Astrotech Corp Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Astrotech Corp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Astrotech Corp's future price movements. Getting to know how Astrotech Corp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Astrotech Corp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MNTS | Momentus | 0.28 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 17.86 | (17.01) | 70.67 | |
| DFSC | DEFSEC Technologies | (0.03) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 10.14 | (17.35) | 48.93 | |
| GVH | Globavend Holdings Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 9.02 | (9.21) | 87.78 | |
| IPDN | Professional Diversity Network | 0.28 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.33) | 6.47 | (11.28) | 28.74 | |
| IVDA | Iveda Solutions | (0.01) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 14.78 | (12.00) | 50.60 | |
| GLXG | Galaxy Payroll Group | (0.51) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 10.30 | (14.81) | 48.73 | |
| LNKS | Linkers Industries Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 6.67 | (10.00) | 32.58 | |
| BKYI | BIO Key International | 0.19 | 4 per month | 5.90 | (0.01) | 9.26 | (9.71) | 69.05 | |
| AEHL | Antelope Enterprise Holdings | (0.21) | 9 per month | 9.67 | 0.0007 | 10.83 | (17.77) | 134.82 | |
| CHNR | China Natural Resources | (0.01) | 13 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 7.61 | (8.29) | 29.14 |
Other Forecasting Options for Astrotech Corp
For every potential investor in Astrotech, whether a beginner or expert, Astrotech Corp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Astrotech Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Astrotech. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Astrotech Corp's price trends.Astrotech Corp Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Astrotech Corp stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Astrotech Corp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Astrotech Corp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Astrotech Corp Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Astrotech Corp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Astrotech Corp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Astrotech Corp stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Astrotech Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Astrotech Corp Risk Indicators
The analysis of Astrotech Corp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Astrotech Corp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting astrotech stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.52 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.91 | |||
| Variance | 24.14 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Astrotech Corp
The number of cover stories for Astrotech Corp depends on current market conditions and Astrotech Corp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Astrotech Corp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Astrotech Corp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Astrotech Corp Short Properties
Astrotech Corp's future price predictability will typically decrease when Astrotech Corp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Astrotech Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Astrotech Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Astrotech Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 18.2 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Astrotech Corp to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Astrotech Stock refer to our How to Trade Astrotech Stock guide.You can also try the Equity Search module to search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets.
Is Aerospace & Defense space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Astrotech Corp. If investors know Astrotech will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Astrotech Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (8.38) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 7.735 | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
The market value of Astrotech Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Astrotech that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Astrotech Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Astrotech Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Astrotech Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Astrotech Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Astrotech Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Astrotech Corp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Astrotech Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.