Aster Crypto Coin Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| ASTER Crypto | USD 0.61 0.04 7.02% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Aster on the next trading day is expected to be 0.61 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.42. Aster Crypto Coin Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Aster crypto prices and determine the direction of Aster's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Aster's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the rsi of Aster's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the crypto coin is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Aster hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Aster from the perspective of Aster response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Aster on the next trading day is expected to be 0.61 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.42. Aster after-hype prediction price | .CC 0.64 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as crypto price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Aster |
Aster Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Aster price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Aster using various technical indicators. When you analyze Aster charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Aster Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Aster on the next trading day is expected to be 0.61 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.42.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Aster Crypto Coin prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Aster's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Aster Crypto Coin Forecast Pattern
Aster Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Aster's Crypto Coin value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Aster's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 6.97, respectively. We have considered Aster's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Aster crypto coin data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Aster crypto coin, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.4764 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0046 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0397 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0436 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 2.42 |
Predictive Modules for Aster
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aster. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the crypto coin market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the crypto coin market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Aster After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Aster at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Aster or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Crypto Coin prices, such as prices of Aster, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Aster Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Aster's crypto coin value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Aster's historical news coverage. Aster's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.03 and 7.00, respectively. We have considered Aster's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Aster is unusually volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Aster is based on 3 months time horizon.
Aster Crypto Coin Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Cryptocurrency such as Aster is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Aster backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Crypto price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Aster, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.71 | 6.36 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 2 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.61 | 0.64 | 4.92 |
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Aster Hype Timeline
Aster is presently traded for 0.61. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Aster is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.64 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is anticipated to be 4.92%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.71%. The volatility of related hype on Aster is about 115680.77%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.61. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Aster to cross-verify your projections.Aster Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Aster's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Aster's future price movements. Getting to know how Aster's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Aster may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ASTER | Aster | 0.04 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 6.80 | (11.76) | 41.89 | |
| CCD | Concordium | (0.0005) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 16.79 | (12.50) | 45.53 | |
| STETH | Staked Ether | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 6.45 | (5.38) | 20.42 | |
| EIGEN | EigenLayer | 0.03 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.29) | 9.09 | (10.00) | 30.00 | |
| EOSDAC | EOSDAC | (0.000019) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 6.33 | (6.29) | 20.39 | |
| BLZ | BLZ | (0.01) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 20.81 | (12.12) | 40.95 | |
| MORPHO | Morpho | 0.00 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 6.98 | (9.09) | 25.99 | |
| DIA | DIA | (0.01) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 11.11 | (10.00) | 61.73 | |
| EM | EM | 0.00 | 2 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for Aster
For every potential investor in Aster, whether a beginner or expert, Aster's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Aster Crypto Coin price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Aster. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Aster's price trends.Aster Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Aster crypto coin to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Aster could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Aster by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Aster Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Aster crypto coin reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Aster shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Aster crypto coin market strength indicators, traders can identify Aster entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 13906.16 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 4.0 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.07 | |||
| Day Median Price | 0.62 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 0.61 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.015 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.04 |
Aster Risk Indicators
The analysis of Aster's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Aster's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting aster crypto coin prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.44 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 6.26 | |||
| Variance | 39.21 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Aster
The number of cover stories for Aster depends on current market conditions and Aster's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Aster is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Aster's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Aster to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Companies Directory module to evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals.