Atlas Corp Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

ATCOL Stock  USD 25.10  0.05  0.20%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Atlas Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 25.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.63. Atlas Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
An 8-period moving average forecast model for Atlas Corp is based on an artificially constructed time series of Atlas Corp daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Atlas Corp 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 26th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Atlas Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 25.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.63.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Atlas Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Atlas Corp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Atlas Corp Stock Forecast Pattern

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Atlas Corp Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Atlas Corp's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Atlas Corp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 24.66 and 25.39, respectively. We have considered Atlas Corp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
25.10
25.03
Expected Value
25.39
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Atlas Corp stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Atlas Corp stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria98.5763
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.024
MADMean absolute deviation0.0685
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0027
SAESum of the absolute errors3.6325
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Atlas Corp 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Atlas Corp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Atlas Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
24.7425.1025.46
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
23.6724.0327.61
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
24.9025.0625.22
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Atlas Corp

For every potential investor in Atlas, whether a beginner or expert, Atlas Corp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Atlas Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Atlas. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Atlas Corp's price trends.

Atlas Corp Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Atlas Corp stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Atlas Corp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Atlas Corp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Atlas Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Atlas Corp's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Atlas Corp's current price.

Atlas Corp Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Atlas Corp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Atlas Corp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Atlas Corp stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Atlas Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Atlas Corp Risk Indicators

The analysis of Atlas Corp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Atlas Corp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting atlas stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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When determining whether Atlas Corp is a strong investment it is important to analyze Atlas Corp's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Atlas Corp's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Atlas Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Atlas Corp to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Atlas Stock please use our How to buy in Atlas Stock guide.
You can also try the Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.
Is Cargo Ground Transportation space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Atlas Corp. If investors know Atlas will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Atlas Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.408
Earnings Share
1.736
Revenue Per Share
9.517
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.297
Return On Assets
0.0431
The market value of Atlas Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Atlas that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Atlas Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Atlas Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Atlas Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Atlas Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Atlas Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Atlas Corp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Atlas Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.