Athena Technology Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| ATEK Stock | USD 11.72 0.03 0.26% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Athena Technology Acquisition on the next trading day is expected to be 11.89 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.14. Athena Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Athena Technology's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Athena Technology's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Athena Technology fundamentals over time.
Athena |
Athena Technology Cash Forecast
To forecast cash or other financial indicators, analysts must employ diverse statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. This approach allows them to detect underlying patterns in the Athena Technology's financial statements, predicting their influence on future market prices.
Cash | First Reported 2010-12-31 | Previous Quarter 0.0 | Current Value 0.0 | Quarterly Volatility 775.7 K |
Athena Technology Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 27th of November
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Athena Technology Acquisition on the next trading day is expected to be 11.89 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12, mean absolute percentage error of 0.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.14.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Athena Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Athena Technology's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Athena Technology Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Athena Technology | Athena Technology Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Athena Technology Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Athena Technology's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Athena Technology's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 9.64 and 14.13, respectively. We have considered Athena Technology's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Athena Technology stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Athena Technology stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.9735 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.117 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0098 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 7.1354 |
Predictive Modules for Athena Technology
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Athena Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Athena Technology's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Athena Technology
For every potential investor in Athena, whether a beginner or expert, Athena Technology's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Athena Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Athena. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Athena Technology's price trends.Athena Technology Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Athena Technology stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Athena Technology could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Athena Technology by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Athena Technology Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Athena Technology's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Athena Technology's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Athena Technology Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Athena Technology stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Athena Technology shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Athena Technology stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Athena Technology Acquisition entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Athena Technology Risk Indicators
The analysis of Athena Technology's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Athena Technology's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting athena stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.05 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.91 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.21 | |||
| Variance | 4.89 | |||
| Downside Variance | 6.32 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.63 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.51) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Building efficient market-beating portfolios requires time, education, and a lot of computing power!
The Portfolio Architect is an AI-driven system that provides multiple benefits to our users by leveraging cutting-edge machine learning algorithms, statistical analysis, and predictive modeling to automate the process of asset selection and portfolio construction, saving time and reducing human error for individual and institutional investors.
Try AI Portfolio ArchitectCheck out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Athena Technology to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Stock Tickers module to use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites.
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Athena Technology. If investors know Athena will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Athena Technology listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.80) | Earnings Share (0.06) | Return On Assets (0.07) |
The market value of Athena Technology is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Athena that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Athena Technology's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Athena Technology's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Athena Technology's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Athena Technology's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Athena Technology's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Athena Technology is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Athena Technology's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.