A10 Network Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| ATEN Stock | USD 18.14 0.33 1.85% |
A10 Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of today, The relative strength indicator of A10 Network's share price is at 55. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling A10 Network, making its price go up or down. Momentum 55
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using A10 Network hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of A10 Network from the perspective of A10 Network response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of A10 Network on the next trading day is expected to be 18.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.20 and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.13. A10 Network after-hype prediction price | USD 17.82 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of A10 Network to cross-verify your projections. A10 Network Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine A10 price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for A10 using various technical indicators. When you analyze A10 charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
A10 Network Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 28th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of A10 Network on the next trading day is expected to be 18.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.20, mean absolute percentage error of 0.06, and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.13.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict A10 Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that A10 Network's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
A10 Network Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest A10 Network | A10 Network Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
A10 Network Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting A10 Network's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. A10 Network's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 16.73 and 19.55, respectively. We have considered A10 Network's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of A10 Network stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent A10 Network stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.4878 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0118 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2022 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0115 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 12.13 |
Predictive Modules for A10 Network
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as A10 Network. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of A10 Network's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
A10 Network After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of A10 Network at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in A10 Network or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of A10 Network, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
A10 Network Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting A10 Network's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on A10 Network's historical news coverage. A10 Network's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 16.43 and 19.21, respectively. We have considered A10 Network's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
A10 Network is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of A10 Network is based on 3 months time horizon.
A10 Network Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as A10 Network is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading A10 Network backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with A10 Network, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.08 | 1.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
18.14 | 17.82 | 0.06 |
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A10 Network Hype Timeline
A10 Network is presently traded for 18.14. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. A10 is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 17.82 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 0.06%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.08%. The volatility of related hype on A10 Network is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 18.14. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 261.7 M. Net Income was 50.14 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 226.56 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of A10 Network to cross-verify your projections.A10 Network Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to A10 Network's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict A10 Network's future price movements. Getting to know how A10 Network's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how A10 Network may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| VRNT | Verint Systems | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 0.20 | (0.20) | 1.33 | |
| RPD | Rapid7 Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 3.15 | (4.71) | 21.42 | |
| TUYA | Tuya Inc ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 4.87 | (3.81) | 16.88 | |
| TIXT | TELUS International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.64) | 0.00 | (1.15) | 1.15 | |
| KARO | Karooooo | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.59 | 0.06 | 5.56 | (2.84) | 10.32 | |
| RDWR | Radware | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 1.90 | (3.00) | 6.78 | |
| GCT | GigaCloud Technology Class | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.03 | 0.09 | 5.71 | (6.01) | 36.06 | |
| AMPL | Amplitude | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.63 | 0 | 4.19 | (4.44) | 14.37 | |
| CTS | CTS Corporation | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.59 | 0.16 | 3.37 | (2.62) | 8.33 | |
| DGII | Digi International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.02 | 0.08 | 3.16 | (3.58) | 11.14 |
Other Forecasting Options for A10 Network
For every potential investor in A10, whether a beginner or expert, A10 Network's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. A10 Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in A10. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying A10 Network's price trends.A10 Network Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with A10 Network stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of A10 Network could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing A10 Network by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
A10 Network Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how A10 Network stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading A10 Network shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying A10 Network stock market strength indicators, traders can identify A10 Network entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
A10 Network Risk Indicators
The analysis of A10 Network's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in A10 Network's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting a10 stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.13 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.35 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.41 | |||
| Variance | 1.99 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.18 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.82 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.23) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for A10 Network
The number of cover stories for A10 Network depends on current market conditions and A10 Network's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that A10 Network is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about A10 Network's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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A10 Network Short Properties
A10 Network's future price predictability will typically decrease when A10 Network's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of A10 Network often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential A10 Network's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. A10 Network's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 75.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 195.6 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of A10 Network to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in A10 Stock, please use our How to Invest in A10 Network guide.You can also try the Commodity Directory module to find actively traded commodities issued by global exchanges.
Is Systems Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of A10 Network. If investors know A10 will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about A10 Network listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of A10 Network is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of A10 that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of A10 Network's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is A10 Network's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because A10 Network's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect A10 Network's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between A10 Network's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if A10 Network is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, A10 Network's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.