Adtalem Global Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| ATGE Stock | USD 107.78 8.14 7.02% |
Adtalem Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Adtalem Global stock prices and determine the direction of Adtalem Global Education's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Adtalem Global's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Adtalem Global's share price is approaching 49. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Adtalem Global, making its price go up or down. Momentum 49
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.418 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 2.055 | EPS Estimate Current Year 7.8375 | EPS Estimate Next Year 8.93 | Wall Street Target Price 158.25 |
Using Adtalem Global hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Adtalem Global Education from the perspective of Adtalem Global response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Adtalem Global using Adtalem Global's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Adtalem using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Adtalem Global's stock price.
Adtalem Global Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Adtalem Global's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Adtalem. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Adtalem Global stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 120.5048 | Short Percent 0.0568 | Short Ratio 3.62 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.3 M | 50 Day MA 103.015 |
Adtalem Relative Strength Index
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Adtalem Global Education on the next trading day is expected to be 107.78 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.83 and the sum of the absolute errors of 109.72.Adtalem Global Education Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Adtalem Global's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Adtalem. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Adtalem can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Adtalem Global Education. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Adtalem Global's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Adtalem Global.
Adtalem Global Implied Volatility | 0.49 |
Adtalem Global's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Adtalem Global Education stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Adtalem Global's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Adtalem Global stock will not fluctuate a lot when Adtalem Global's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Adtalem Global Education on the next trading day is expected to be 107.78 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.83 and the sum of the absolute errors of 109.72. Adtalem Global after-hype prediction price | USD 107.78 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Adtalem Global to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Adtalem contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Adtalem Global Education will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0306% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Adtalem Global trading at USD 107.78, that is roughly USD 0.033 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Adtalem Global's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Adtalem Global Education options at the current volatility level of 0.49%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Adtalem Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Adtalem Global's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Adtalem Global's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Adtalem Global stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Adtalem Global's open interest, investors have to compare it to Adtalem Global's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Adtalem Global is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Adtalem. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Adtalem Global Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Adtalem price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Adtalem using various technical indicators. When you analyze Adtalem charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Adtalem Global Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 31st of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Adtalem Global Education on the next trading day is expected to be 107.78 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.83, mean absolute percentage error of 6.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 109.72.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Adtalem Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Adtalem Global's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Adtalem Global Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Adtalem Global | Adtalem Global Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Adtalem Global Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Adtalem Global's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Adtalem Global's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 105.64 and 109.92, respectively. We have considered Adtalem Global's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Adtalem Global stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Adtalem Global stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.0719 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.2843 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.8287 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0178 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 109.72 |
Predictive Modules for Adtalem Global
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Adtalem Global Education. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Adtalem Global After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Adtalem Global at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Adtalem Global or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Adtalem Global, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Adtalem Global Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Adtalem Global's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Adtalem Global's historical news coverage. Adtalem Global's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 105.63 and 109.93, respectively. We have considered Adtalem Global's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Adtalem Global is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Adtalem Global Education is based on 3 months time horizon.
Adtalem Global Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Adtalem Global is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Adtalem Global backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Adtalem Global, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.22 | 2.14 | 0.24 | 0.70 | 11 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
107.78 | 107.78 | 0.00 |
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Adtalem Global Hype Timeline
Adtalem Global Education is presently traded for 107.78. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.24, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.7. Adtalem is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 194.55%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.22%. %. The volatility of related hype on Adtalem Global is about 67.39%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 108.48. About 97.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Adtalem Global was presently reported as 40.13. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.29. Adtalem Global Education recorded earning per share (EPS) of 6.54. The entity last dividend was issued on the 30th of November 2016. The firm had 2:1 split on the 22nd of June 1998. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Adtalem Global to cross-verify your projections.Adtalem Global Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Adtalem Global's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Adtalem Global's future price movements. Getting to know how Adtalem Global's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Adtalem Global may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LRN | Stride Inc | (0.65) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 3.18 | (3.66) | 54.96 | |
| LAUR | Laureate Education | 0.96 | 9 per month | 1.95 | 0.08 | 3.64 | (2.34) | 18.76 | |
| STRA | Strategic Education | 0.38 | 11 per month | 2.21 | (0.01) | 2.32 | (4.08) | 12.29 | |
| PRDO | Perdoceo Education Corp | (0.62) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.71 | (3.17) | 11.89 | |
| COTY | Coty Inc | 0.05 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 2.61 | (4.14) | 9.89 | |
| FIZZ | National Beverage Corp | (0.26) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.99 | (3.05) | 7.83 | |
| GHC | Graham Holdings Co | 28.11 | 10 per month | 1.00 | 0.09 | 2.72 | (1.85) | 7.85 | |
| PSMT | PriceSmart | 0.67 | 9 per month | 1.45 | 0.11 | 3.54 | (2.32) | 9.74 | |
| IPAR | Inter Parfums | (0.06) | 8 per month | 2.05 | (0.02) | 2.62 | (3.84) | 8.82 |
Other Forecasting Options for Adtalem Global
For every potential investor in Adtalem, whether a beginner or expert, Adtalem Global's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Adtalem Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Adtalem. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Adtalem Global's price trends.Adtalem Global Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Adtalem Global stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Adtalem Global could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Adtalem Global by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Adtalem Global Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Adtalem Global stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Adtalem Global shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Adtalem Global stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Adtalem Global Education entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 273138.0 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.36) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.93 | |||
| Day Median Price | 113.38 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 111.51 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (9.67) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (8.14) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 49.62 |
Adtalem Global Risk Indicators
The analysis of Adtalem Global's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Adtalem Global's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting adtalem stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.08 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.46 | |||
| Variance | 19.85 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Adtalem Global
The number of cover stories for Adtalem Global depends on current market conditions and Adtalem Global's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Adtalem Global is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Adtalem Global's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Adtalem Global Short Properties
Adtalem Global's future price predictability will typically decrease when Adtalem Global's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Adtalem Global Education often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Adtalem Global's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Adtalem Global's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 38.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 214 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Adtalem Global to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Commodity Channel module to use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum.
Will Diversified Consumer Services sector continue expanding? Could Adtalem diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Adtalem Global. If investors know Adtalem will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Adtalem Global data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.418 | Earnings Share 6.54 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.108 | Return On Assets |
Investors evaluate Adtalem Global Education using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Adtalem Global's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Adtalem Global's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Adtalem Global's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Adtalem Global represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, Adtalem Global's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.