Athene Holding Preferred Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

ATH-PC Preferred Stock  USD 25.35  0.12  0.48%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Athene Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 25.28 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.31. Athene Preferred Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Athene Holding stock prices and determine the direction of Athene Holding's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Athene Holding's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
An 8-period moving average forecast model for Athene Holding is based on an artificially constructed time series of Athene Holding daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Athene Holding 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 23rd of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Athene Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 25.28 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.31.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Athene Preferred Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Athene Holding's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Athene Holding Preferred Stock Forecast Pattern

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Athene Holding Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Athene Holding's Preferred Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Athene Holding's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 24.97 and 25.59, respectively. We have considered Athene Holding's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
25.35
25.28
Expected Value
25.59
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Athene Holding preferred stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Athene Holding preferred stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria98.9436
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.035
MADMean absolute deviation0.0813
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0032
SAESum of the absolute errors4.31
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Athene Holding 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Athene Holding

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Athene Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
25.0425.3525.66
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
23.8924.2027.89
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
25.0125.2225.42
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Athene Holding

For every potential investor in Athene, whether a beginner or expert, Athene Holding's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Athene Preferred Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Athene. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Athene Holding's price trends.

Athene Holding Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Athene Holding preferred stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Athene Holding could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Athene Holding by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Athene Holding Technical and Predictive Analytics

The preferred stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Athene Holding's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Athene Holding's current price.

Athene Holding Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Athene Holding preferred stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Athene Holding shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Athene Holding preferred stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Athene Holding entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Athene Holding Risk Indicators

The analysis of Athene Holding's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Athene Holding's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting athene preferred stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Athene Preferred Stock

Athene Holding financial ratios help investors to determine whether Athene Preferred Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Athene with respect to the benefits of owning Athene Holding security.