Athene Holding Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| ATHHF Stock | USD 0.02 0.01 31.52% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Athene Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 0.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.36. Athene Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Athene Holding's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 24th of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Athene Holding's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Athene Holding hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Athene Holding from the perspective of Athene Holding response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Athene Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 0.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.36. Athene Holding after-hype prediction price | USD 0.02 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Athene |
Athene Holding Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Athene price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Athene using various technical indicators. When you analyze Athene charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Athene Holding Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 25th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Athene Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 0.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000061, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.36.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Athene Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Athene Holding's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Athene Holding Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Athene Holding | Athene Holding Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Athene Holding Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Athene Holding's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Athene Holding's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0002 and 21.57, respectively. We have considered Athene Holding's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Athene Holding pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Athene Holding pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 108.4015 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 6.0E-4 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0059 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.1746 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.3594 |
Predictive Modules for Athene Holding
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Athene Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Athene Holding After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Athene Holding at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Athene Holding or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Athene Holding, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Athene Holding Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Athene Holding's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Athene Holding's historical news coverage. Athene Holding's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 21.57, respectively. We have considered Athene Holding's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Athene Holding is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Athene Holding is based on 3 months time horizon.
Athene Holding Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Athene Holding is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Athene Holding backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Athene Holding, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.86 | 21.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.02 | 0.02 | 11.50 |
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Athene Holding Hype Timeline
Athene Holding is presently traded for 0.02. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Athene is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 0.02. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is insignificant. The price reduction on the next news is expected to be -11.5%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.86%. The volatility of related hype on Athene Holding is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.02. About 62.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.01. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Athene Holding to cross-verify your projections.Athene Holding Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Athene Holding's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Athene Holding's future price movements. Getting to know how Athene Holding's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Athene Holding may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LFEV | Life Electric Vehicles | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.05 | 1.37 | (2.67) | 74.67 | |
| LUVU | Luvu Brands | 0.00 | 0 per month | 9.18 | 0.04 | 33.33 | (25.00) | 73.33 | |
| AMTY | Amerityre Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.25) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| CDTI | CDTi Advanced Materials | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 8.77 | (11.84) | 43.34 | |
| PFFEF | Pool Safe | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| DGIX | Dyna Group International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 39.58 | |
| LTFD | Littlefield | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| GKIT | Greenkraft | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 31.18 | |
| BRVO | Bravo Multinational | 0.00 | 0 per month | 20.81 | 0.13 | 53.85 | (44.44) | 229.08 | |
| PRSI | Portsmouth Square | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.15 | 17.00 | 0.00 | 51.90 |
Other Forecasting Options for Athene Holding
For every potential investor in Athene, whether a beginner or expert, Athene Holding's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Athene Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Athene. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Athene Holding's price trends.Athene Holding Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Athene Holding pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Athene Holding could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Athene Holding by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Athene Holding Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Athene Holding pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Athene Holding shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Athene Holding pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Athene Holding entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 8709.68 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (1.16) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.68 | |||
| Day Median Price | 0.0265 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 0.0252 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.01) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.01) |
Athene Holding Risk Indicators
The analysis of Athene Holding's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Athene Holding's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting athene pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 16.08 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 18.47 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 21.55 | |||
| Variance | 464.43 | |||
| Downside Variance | 473.46 | |||
| Semi Variance | 341.07 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (20.47) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Athene Holding
The number of cover stories for Athene Holding depends on current market conditions and Athene Holding's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Athene Holding is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Athene Holding's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Athene Pink Sheet
Athene Holding financial ratios help investors to determine whether Athene Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Athene with respect to the benefits of owning Athene Holding security.