Archimedes Tech Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing
| ATII Stock | 10.56 0.09 0.86% |
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Archimedes Tech SPAC on the next trading day is expected to be 10.53 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.99. Archimedes Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Archimedes Tech's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The value of RSI of Archimedes Tech's share price is above 70 as of 22nd of January 2026. This suggests that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Archimedes, making its price go up or down. Momentum 70
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Archimedes Tech hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Archimedes Tech SPAC from the perspective of Archimedes Tech response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Archimedes Tech SPAC on the next trading day is expected to be 10.53 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.99. Archimedes Tech after-hype prediction price | USD 10.56 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Archimedes Tech Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Archimedes price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Archimedes using various technical indicators. When you analyze Archimedes charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Archimedes Tech Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 23rd of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Archimedes Tech SPAC on the next trading day is expected to be 10.53 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0005, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.99.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Archimedes Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Archimedes Tech's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Archimedes Tech Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Archimedes Tech | Archimedes Tech Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Archimedes Tech Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Archimedes Tech's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Archimedes Tech's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 10.31 and 10.76, respectively. We have considered Archimedes Tech's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Archimedes Tech stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Archimedes Tech stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0015 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0168 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0016 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.9898 |
Predictive Modules for Archimedes Tech
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Archimedes Tech SPAC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Archimedes Tech After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Archimedes Tech at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Archimedes Tech or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Archimedes Tech, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Archimedes Tech Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Archimedes Tech's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Archimedes Tech's historical news coverage. Archimedes Tech's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 10.34 and 10.78, respectively. We have considered Archimedes Tech's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Archimedes Tech is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Archimedes Tech SPAC is based on 3 months time horizon.
Archimedes Tech Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Archimedes Tech is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Archimedes Tech backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Archimedes Tech, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.03 | 0.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
10.56 | 10.56 | 0.00 |
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Archimedes Tech Hype Timeline
Archimedes Tech SPAC is presently traded for 10.56. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Archimedes is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.03%. %. The volatility of related hype on Archimedes Tech is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 10.56. About 21.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Archimedes Tech to cross-verify your projections.Archimedes Tech Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Archimedes Tech's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Archimedes Tech's future price movements. Getting to know how Archimedes Tech's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Archimedes Tech may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| JACS | Jackson Acquisition | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.07 | (0.55) | 0.29 | (0.29) | 0.96 | |
| POLE | Andretti Acquisition Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.25) | 0.38 | (0.75) | 2.71 | |
| GRAF | Graf Global Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.29 | (0.27) | 0.38 | (0.47) | 2.60 | |
| LPAA | Launch One Acquisition | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.68) | 0.28 | (0.19) | 0.76 | |
| TVA | Texas Ventures Acquisition | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 0.95 | (1.09) | 4.28 | |
| NPAC | New Providence Acquisition | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.10 | (0.63) | 0.29 | (0.19) | 0.68 | |
| AACB | Artius II Acquisition | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.91) | 0.19 | (0.10) | 0.39 | |
| OBA | Oxley Bridge Acquisition | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.58) | 0.30 | (0.20) | 0.89 | |
| ALDF | Aldel Financial II | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.11 | (0.77) | 0.19 | (0.28) | 0.67 |
Other Forecasting Options for Archimedes Tech
For every potential investor in Archimedes, whether a beginner or expert, Archimedes Tech's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Archimedes Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Archimedes. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Archimedes Tech's price trends.Archimedes Tech Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Archimedes Tech stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Archimedes Tech could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Archimedes Tech by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Archimedes Tech Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Archimedes Tech stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Archimedes Tech shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Archimedes Tech stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Archimedes Tech SPAC entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Archimedes Tech Risk Indicators
The analysis of Archimedes Tech's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Archimedes Tech's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting archimedes stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.153 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.2211 | |||
| Variance | 0.0489 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.0642 | |||
| Semi Variance | (0.01) | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.25) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Archimedes Tech
The number of cover stories for Archimedes Tech depends on current market conditions and Archimedes Tech's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Archimedes Tech is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Archimedes Tech's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Archimedes Tech Short Properties
Archimedes Tech's future price predictability will typically decrease when Archimedes Tech's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Archimedes Tech SPAC often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Archimedes Tech's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Archimedes Tech's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Short Percent Float | 0.0008 | |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 27.3 K | |
| Shares Float | 14.9 M | |
| Short Percent | 0.0008 |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Archimedes Tech to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Price Ceiling Movement module to calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments.
Is Stock space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Archimedes Tech. If investors know Archimedes will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Archimedes Tech listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Archimedes Tech SPAC is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Archimedes that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Archimedes Tech's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Archimedes Tech's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Archimedes Tech's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Archimedes Tech's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Archimedes Tech's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Archimedes Tech is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Archimedes Tech's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.