ATNF Old Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| ATNFDelisted Stock | USD 2.58 0.18 7.50% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of ATNF Old on the next trading day is expected to be 2.13 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.82 and the sum of the absolute errors of 49.83. ATNF Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of ATNF Old's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 23rd of January 2026 the value of rsi of ATNF Old's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using ATNF Old hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of ATNF Old from the perspective of ATNF Old response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of ATNF Old on the next trading day is expected to be 2.13 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.82 and the sum of the absolute errors of 49.83. ATNF Old after-hype prediction price | $ 2.58 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as delisted stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
ATNF |
ATNF Old Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine ATNF price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for ATNF using various technical indicators. When you analyze ATNF charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
ATNF Old Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of ATNF Old on the next trading day is expected to be 2.13 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.82, mean absolute percentage error of 1.65, and the sum of the absolute errors of 49.83.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict ATNF Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that ATNF Old's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
ATNF Old Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest ATNF Old | ATNF Old Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of ATNF Old stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent ATNF Old stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.6115 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.8169 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.2351 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 49.83 |
Predictive Modules for ATNF Old
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ATNF Old. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.ATNF Old After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of ATNF Old at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in ATNF Old or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of ATNF Old, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
ATNF Old Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting ATNF Old's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on ATNF Old's historical news coverage. ATNF Old's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 2.58 and 2.58, respectively. We have considered ATNF Old's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
ATNF Old is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of ATNF Old is based on 3 months time horizon.
ATNF Old Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as ATNF Old is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading ATNF Old backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Delisted Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with ATNF Old, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 5 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
2.58 | 2.58 | 0.00 |
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ATNF Old Hype Timeline
ATNF Old is presently traded for 2.58. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. ATNF is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on ATNF Old is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.58. The company recorded a loss per share of 14.95. ATNF Old had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:19 split on the 28th of February 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 5 days. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in employment.ATNF Old Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to ATNF Old's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict ATNF Old's future price movements. Getting to know how ATNF Old's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how ATNF Old may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CBIO | Crescent Biopharma | (2.57) | 9 per month | 3.16 | 0.02 | 7.58 | (6.25) | 16.16 | |
| EQRX | EQRx Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| VECT | VectivBio Holding AG | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| VERV | Verve Therapeutics | 0.03 | 5 per month | 2.98 | 0.13 | 8.32 | (5.62) | 83.78 | |
| GRCL | Gracell Biotechnologies | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| CTIC | CTi Biopharma Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| PSTX | Poseida Therapeutics | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| ALBO | Albireo Pharma | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| HARP | Harpoon Therapeutics | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
ATNF Old Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with ATNF Old stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of ATNF Old could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ATNF Old by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
ATNF Old Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how ATNF Old stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading ATNF Old shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying ATNF Old stock market strength indicators, traders can identify ATNF Old entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
ATNF Old Risk Indicators
The analysis of ATNF Old's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in ATNF Old's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting atnf stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 13.18 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 9.06 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 30.9 | |||
| Variance | 954.6 | |||
| Downside Variance | 110.26 | |||
| Semi Variance | 82.09 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (19.70) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for ATNF Old
The number of cover stories for ATNF Old depends on current market conditions and ATNF Old's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that ATNF Old is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about ATNF Old's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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ATNF Old Short Properties
ATNF Old's future price predictability will typically decrease when ATNF Old's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of ATNF Old often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential ATNF Old's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ATNF Old's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 915.4 K | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.6 M |
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in employment. You can also try the Price Ceiling Movement module to calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments.
Other Consideration for investing in ATNF Stock
If you are still planning to invest in ATNF Old check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the ATNF Old's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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