Anton Oilfield Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| ATONY Stock | USD 20.76 0.00 0.00% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Anton Oilfield Services on the next trading day is expected to be 20.76 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.15 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.24. Anton Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Anton Oilfield's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Anton Oilfield hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Anton Oilfield Services from the perspective of Anton Oilfield response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Anton Oilfield Services on the next trading day is expected to be 20.76 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.15 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.24. Anton Oilfield after-hype prediction price | USD 20.76 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Anton Oilfield Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Anton price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Anton using various technical indicators. When you analyze Anton charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
Anton Oilfield Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 26th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Anton Oilfield Services on the next trading day is expected to be 20.76 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.15, mean absolute percentage error of 0.85, and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.24.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Anton Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Anton Oilfield's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Anton Oilfield Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
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Anton Oilfield Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Anton Oilfield's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Anton Oilfield's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 17.03 and 24.49, respectively. We have considered Anton Oilfield's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Anton Oilfield pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Anton Oilfield pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.1152 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.069 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.154 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0069 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 9.24 |
Predictive Modules for Anton Oilfield
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Anton Oilfield Services. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Anton Oilfield After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Anton Oilfield at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Anton Oilfield or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Anton Oilfield, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Anton Oilfield Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Anton Oilfield's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Anton Oilfield's historical news coverage. Anton Oilfield's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 17.03 and 24.49, respectively. We have considered Anton Oilfield's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Anton Oilfield is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Anton Oilfield Services is based on 3 months time horizon.
Anton Oilfield Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Anton Oilfield is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Anton Oilfield backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Anton Oilfield, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.43 | 3.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
20.76 | 20.76 | 0.00 |
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Anton Oilfield Hype Timeline
Anton Oilfield Services is presently traded for 20.76. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Anton is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.43%. %. The volatility of related hype on Anton Oilfield is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 20.76. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.31. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Anton Oilfield Services last dividend was issued on the 28th of May 2019. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Anton Oilfield to cross-verify your projections.Anton Oilfield Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Anton Oilfield's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Anton Oilfield's future price movements. Getting to know how Anton Oilfield's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Anton Oilfield may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TOTZF | Total Energy Services | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.64 | 0.12 | 2.73 | (2.20) | 10.98 | |
| SBOEF | Schoeller Bleckmann Oilfield Equipment | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| KRNGY | Karoon Energy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 19.93 | |
| SHANF | Shandong Molong Petroleum | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| PTALF | PetroTal Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 4.55 | (6.25) | 37.88 | |
| OILSF | Saturn Oil Gas | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.64 | 0.10 | 5.08 | (4.44) | 12.06 | |
| WDGJY | John Wood Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| ESVIF | Ensign Energy Services | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.66 | 0.13 | 5.95 | (4.97) | 14.76 | |
| RZREF | Razor Energy Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| AKKVF | Akastor ASA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.09 |
Other Forecasting Options for Anton Oilfield
For every potential investor in Anton, whether a beginner or expert, Anton Oilfield's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Anton Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Anton. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Anton Oilfield's price trends.Anton Oilfield Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Anton Oilfield pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Anton Oilfield could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Anton Oilfield by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Anton Oilfield Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Anton Oilfield pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Anton Oilfield shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Anton Oilfield pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Anton Oilfield Services entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Anton Oilfield Risk Indicators
The analysis of Anton Oilfield's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Anton Oilfield's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting anton pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.1 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.63 | |||
| Variance | 13.14 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Anton Oilfield
The number of cover stories for Anton Oilfield depends on current market conditions and Anton Oilfield's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Anton Oilfield is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Anton Oilfield's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Tools for Anton Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Anton Oilfield's price analysis, check to measure Anton Oilfield's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Anton Oilfield is operating at the current time. Most of Anton Oilfield's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Anton Oilfield's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Anton Oilfield's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Anton Oilfield to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.