Atossa Genetics Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| ATOS Stock | USD 0.69 0.05 8.05% |
Atossa Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Atossa Genetics' share price is approaching 48. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Atossa Genetics, making its price go up or down. Momentum 48
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.07) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.25) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.29) | Wall Street Target Price 5.75 |
Using Atossa Genetics hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Atossa Genetics from the perspective of Atossa Genetics response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Atossa Genetics using Atossa Genetics' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Atossa using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Atossa Genetics' stock price.
Atossa Genetics Implied Volatility | 1.58 |
Atossa Genetics' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Atossa Genetics stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Atossa Genetics' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Atossa Genetics stock will not fluctuate a lot when Atossa Genetics' options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Atossa Genetics on the next trading day is expected to be 0.69 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.39. Atossa Genetics after-hype prediction price | USD 0.66 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Atossa Genetics to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Atossa Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Atossa Genetics' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Atossa Genetics' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Atossa Genetics stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Atossa Genetics' open interest, investors have to compare it to Atossa Genetics' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Atossa Genetics is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Atossa. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Atossa Genetics Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Atossa price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Atossa using various technical indicators. When you analyze Atossa charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Atossa Genetics Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 27th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Atossa Genetics on the next trading day is expected to be 0.69 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02, mean absolute percentage error of 0.001, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.39.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Atossa Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Atossa Genetics' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Atossa Genetics Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Atossa Genetics | Atossa Genetics Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Atossa Genetics Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Atossa Genetics' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Atossa Genetics' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 4.81, respectively. We have considered Atossa Genetics' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Atossa Genetics stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Atossa Genetics stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 109.3215 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0031 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0232 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0322 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 1.3915 |
Predictive Modules for Atossa Genetics
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Atossa Genetics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Atossa Genetics After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Atossa Genetics at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Atossa Genetics or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Atossa Genetics, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Atossa Genetics Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Atossa Genetics' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Atossa Genetics' historical news coverage. Atossa Genetics' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.03 and 4.78, respectively. We have considered Atossa Genetics' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Atossa Genetics is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Atossa Genetics is based on 3 months time horizon.
Atossa Genetics Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Atossa Genetics is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Atossa Genetics backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Atossa Genetics, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.54 | 4.12 | 0.01 | 0.24 | 8 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.69 | 0.66 | 3.13 |
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Atossa Genetics Hype Timeline
Atossa Genetics is presently traded for 0.69. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.24. Atossa is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.66 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price appreciation on the next news is projected to be 3.13%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.54%. The volatility of related hype on Atossa Genetics is about 936.36%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.93. Atossa Genetics currently holds 4.97 M in liabilities. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Atossa Genetics to cross-verify your projections.Atossa Genetics Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Atossa Genetics' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Atossa Genetics' future price movements. Getting to know how Atossa Genetics' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Atossa Genetics may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ONCY | Oncolytics Biotech | (0.02) | 8 per month | 4.18 | 0.04 | 8.55 | (7.07) | 20.66 | |
| TVGN | Tevogen Bio Holdings | 0.03 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 10.00 | (8.89) | 26.81 | |
| GLSI | Greenwich Lifesciences | 3.59 | 9 per month | 4.63 | 0.23 | 18.12 | (8.50) | 36.10 | |
| TIL | Instil Bio | 0.49 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 6.59 | (9.97) | 55.58 | |
| IMMX | Immix Biopharma | (0.05) | 7 per month | 4.35 | 0.15 | 15.04 | (8.41) | 28.79 | |
| WHWK | Whitehawk Therapeutics | (0.02) | 8 per month | 4.58 | 0.01 | 6.98 | (7.20) | 21.49 | |
| CLNN | Clene Inc | 0.43 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 10.11 | (14.19) | 47.42 | |
| SRZN | Surrozen | 2.17 | 8 per month | 4.12 | 0.11 | 12.23 | (6.75) | 34.29 | |
| CGTX | Cognition Therapeutics | (0.14) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 8.89 | (8.38) | 24.96 | |
| COYA | Coya Therapeutics Common | (2.08) | 36 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 5.28 | (5.56) | 26.90 |
Other Forecasting Options for Atossa Genetics
For every potential investor in Atossa, whether a beginner or expert, Atossa Genetics' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Atossa Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Atossa. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Atossa Genetics' price trends.Atossa Genetics Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Atossa Genetics stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Atossa Genetics could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Atossa Genetics by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Atossa Genetics Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Atossa Genetics stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Atossa Genetics shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Atossa Genetics stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Atossa Genetics entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Atossa Genetics Risk Indicators
The analysis of Atossa Genetics' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Atossa Genetics' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting atossa stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.04 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.03 | |||
| Variance | 16.22 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Atossa Genetics
The number of cover stories for Atossa Genetics depends on current market conditions and Atossa Genetics' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Atossa Genetics is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Atossa Genetics' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Atossa Genetics Short Properties
Atossa Genetics' future price predictability will typically decrease when Atossa Genetics' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Atossa Genetics often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Atossa Genetics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Atossa Genetics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 125.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 71.1 M |
Additional Tools for Atossa Stock Analysis
When running Atossa Genetics' price analysis, check to measure Atossa Genetics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Atossa Genetics is operating at the current time. Most of Atossa Genetics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Atossa Genetics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Atossa Genetics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Atossa Genetics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.