Air Transport Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| ATSGDelisted Stock | USD 22.48 0.01 0.04% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Air Transport Services on the next trading day is expected to be 22.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.76. Air Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Air Transport's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 2nd of January 2026 the value of rsi of Air Transport's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Air Transport hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Air Transport Services from the perspective of Air Transport response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Air Transport Services on the next trading day is expected to be 22.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.76. Air Transport after-hype prediction price | USD 22.48 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as delisted stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Air |
Air Transport Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Air price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Air using various technical indicators. When you analyze Air charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Air Transport Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 3rd of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Air Transport Services on the next trading day is expected to be 22.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.76.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Air Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Air Transport's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Air Transport Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Air Transport | Air Transport Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Air Transport stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Air Transport stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 111.4453 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0289 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0013 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 1.7619 |
Predictive Modules for Air Transport
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Air Transport Services. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Air Transport's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Air Transport Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Air Transport stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Air Transport could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Air Transport by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Air Transport Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Air Transport stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Air Transport shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Air Transport stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Air Transport Services entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Air Transport Risk Indicators
The analysis of Air Transport's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Air Transport's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting air stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.1041 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.1633 | |||
| Variance | 0.0267 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.0191 | |||
| Semi Variance | (0.02) | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.15) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in real. You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.
Other Consideration for investing in Air Stock
If you are still planning to invest in Air Transport Services check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Air Transport's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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