Nv5 Global Stock Price Prediction
| NVEE Stock | USD 18.41 0.59 3.11% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
30
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.286 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.39 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.1825 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.27 | Wall Street Target Price 30.1429 |
Using NV5 Global hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of NV5 Global from the perspective of NV5 Global response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards NV5 Global using NV5 Global's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards NV5 using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of NV5 Global's stock price.
NV5 Global Implied Volatility | 1.23 |
NV5 Global's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of NV5 Global stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if NV5 Global's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that NV5 Global stock will not fluctuate a lot when NV5 Global's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in NV5 Global to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying NV5 because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
NV5 Global after-hype prediction price | USD 18.15 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current NV5 contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that NV5 Global will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0769% per day over the life of the 2025-02-21 option contract. With NV5 Global trading at USD 18.41, that is roughly USD 0.0142 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating NV5 Global's daily price movement you should consider acquiring NV5 Global options at the current volatility level of 1.23%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
NV5 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of NV5 Global's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
NV5 Global After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of NV5 Global at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in NV5 Global or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of NV5 Global, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
NV5 Global Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting NV5 Global's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on NV5 Global's historical news coverage. NV5 Global's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 15.95 and 20.35, respectively. We have considered NV5 Global's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
NV5 Global is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of NV5 Global is based on 3 months time horizon.
NV5 Global Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as NV5 Global is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading NV5 Global backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with NV5 Global, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.37 | 2.20 | 0.26 | 0.15 | 9 Events / Month | 10 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
18.41 | 18.15 | 1.41 |
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NV5 Global Hype Timeline
NV5 Global is now traded for 18.41. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.26, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.15. NV5 is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 18.15. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -1.41%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.37%. The volatility of related hype on NV5 Global is about 554.62%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 18.56. About 45.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.43. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. NV5 Global has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.83. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 4:1 split on the 11th of October 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out NV5 Global Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.NV5 Global Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to NV5 Global's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict NV5 Global's future price movements. Getting to know how NV5 Global's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how NV5 Global may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| EME | EMCOR Group | 2.31 | 10 per month | 1.81 | 0.11 | 3.31 | (2.67) | 11.47 | |
| FIX | Comfort Systems USA | 1.83 | 11 per month | 2.60 | 0.12 | 5.28 | (3.62) | 13.29 | |
| PRIM | Primoris Services | (4.03) | 13 per month | 1.50 | 0.19 | 4.09 | (2.60) | 19.70 | |
| GVA | Granite Construction Incorporated | 0.31 | 8 per month | 1.04 | 0.14 | 2.43 | (1.70) | 7.00 | |
| ROAD | Construction Partners | 2.42 | 12 per month | 2.11 | 0.12 | 5.22 | (3.49) | 20.13 | |
| MYRG | MYR Group | 3.97 | 8 per month | 1.85 | 0.13 | 5.71 | (3.54) | 19.36 | |
| GLDD | Great Lakes Dredge | (0.12) | 7 per month | 1.97 | 0.02 | 3.28 | (3.66) | 13.21 | |
| KBR | KBR Inc | (2.00) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.53 | (2.87) | 16.90 | |
| MTRX | Matrix Service Co | 0.18 | 6 per month | 1.86 | 0.13 | 4.24 | (2.53) | 20.59 | |
| BLD | Topbuild Corp | 0.26 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.65 | (4.45) | 14.85 | |
| APG | Api Group Corp | (0.33) | 10 per month | 1.38 | 0.11 | 3.35 | (2.32) | 9.79 | |
| DY | Dycom Industries | (0.04) | 10 per month | 3.10 | 0.01 | 4.76 | (4.75) | 19.59 |
NV5 Global Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine NV5 price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for NV5 using various technical indicators. When you analyze NV5 charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About NV5 Global Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of NV5 Global stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as NV5 Global, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of NV5 Global based on analysis of NV5 Global hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to NV5 Global's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to NV5 Global's related companies. | 2016 | 2022 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 123.09 | 110.64 | 99.58 | 94.3 | PTB Ratio | 8.23 | 11.25 | 12.94 | 12.2 |
Story Coverage note for NV5 Global
The number of cover stories for NV5 Global depends on current market conditions and NV5 Global's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that NV5 Global is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about NV5 Global's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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NV5 Global Short Properties
NV5 Global's future price predictability will typically decrease when NV5 Global's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of NV5 Global often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential NV5 Global's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. NV5 Global's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 247.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 44.8 M |
Complementary Tools for NV5 Stock analysis
When running NV5 Global's price analysis, check to measure NV5 Global's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy NV5 Global is operating at the current time. Most of NV5 Global's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of NV5 Global's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move NV5 Global's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of NV5 Global to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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