Atlantic Union Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

AUB Stock  USD 43.55  0.92  2.16%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Atlantic Union Bankshares on the next trading day is expected to be 42.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.19 and the sum of the absolute errors of 64.48. Atlantic Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Atlantic Union stock prices and determine the direction of Atlantic Union Bankshares's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Atlantic Union's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
The current year's Fixed Asset Turnover is expected to grow to 8.04. The current year's Asset Turnover is expected to grow to 0.05. The current year's Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to grow to about 78.7 M. The current year's Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is expected to grow to about 268.8 M.
An 8-period moving average forecast model for Atlantic Union is based on an artificially constructed time series of Atlantic Union daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Atlantic Union 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 27th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Atlantic Union Bankshares on the next trading day is expected to be 42.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.19, mean absolute percentage error of 2.48, and the sum of the absolute errors of 64.48.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Atlantic Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Atlantic Union's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Atlantic Union Stock Forecast Pattern

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Atlantic Union Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Atlantic Union's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Atlantic Union's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 39.93 and 44.87, respectively. We have considered Atlantic Union's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
43.55
42.40
Expected Value
44.87
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Atlantic Union stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Atlantic Union stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria106.1544
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.447
MADMean absolute deviation1.1941
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0303
SAESum of the absolute errors64.4825
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Atlantic Union Bankshares 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Atlantic Union

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Atlantic Union Bankshares. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Atlantic Union's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
41.1543.6246.09
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
35.5538.0247.91
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
41.1242.3643.60
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
31.3034.4038.18
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Atlantic Union

For every potential investor in Atlantic, whether a beginner or expert, Atlantic Union's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Atlantic Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Atlantic. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Atlantic Union's price trends.

Atlantic Union Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Atlantic Union stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Atlantic Union could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Atlantic Union by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Atlantic Union Bankshares Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Atlantic Union's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Atlantic Union's current price.

Atlantic Union Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Atlantic Union stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Atlantic Union shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Atlantic Union stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Atlantic Union Bankshares entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Atlantic Union Risk Indicators

The analysis of Atlantic Union's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Atlantic Union's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting atlantic stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether Atlantic Union Bankshares offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Atlantic Union's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Atlantic Union Bankshares Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Atlantic Union Bankshares Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Atlantic Union to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Investing Opportunities module to build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Atlantic Union. If investors know Atlantic will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Atlantic Union listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.203
Dividend Share
1.28
Earnings Share
2.4
Revenue Per Share
8.989
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.233
The market value of Atlantic Union Bankshares is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Atlantic that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Atlantic Union's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Atlantic Union's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Atlantic Union's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Atlantic Union's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Atlantic Union's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Atlantic Union is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Atlantic Union's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.