Goldplay Mining OTC Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

Goldplay Mining Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Goldplay price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Goldplay using various technical indicators. When you analyze Goldplay charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur. A naive forecasting model for Goldplay Mining is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Goldplay Mining value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Goldplay Mining Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Goldplay Mining on the next trading day is expected to be 0.06 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.23.

Goldplay Mining OTC Stock Forecast Pattern

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Goldplay Mining Price Prediction

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Goldplay Mining Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Goldplay Mining otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Goldplay Mining otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Goldplay Mining. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Goldplay Mining. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Goldplay Mining

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Goldplay Mining. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 0.01 0.13 57.13 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 0.01 0.12 57.12 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High -0.02 0.07 0.16 Details

Goldplay Mining After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

Goldplay Mining Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Goldplay Mining OTC Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Goldplay Mining Hype Timeline

Goldplay Mining is presently traded for 0.14. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -1.28, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.08. Goldplay is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 0.13. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price reduction on the next news is expected to be -9.19%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 9.88%. The volatility of related hype on Goldplay Mining is about 767346.94%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.06. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.48. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Goldplay Mining had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Goldplay Mining to cross-verify your projections.

Goldplay Mining Related Hype Analysis

Other Forecasting Options for Goldplay Mining

For every potential investor in Goldplay, whether a beginner or expert, Goldplay Mining's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Goldplay OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Goldplay. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Goldplay Mining's price trends.

Goldplay Mining Related Equities

Risk & Return

Correlation

Goldplay Mining Market Strength Events

Goldplay Mining Risk Indicators

Story Coverage note for Goldplay Mining

Other Macroaxis Stories

Other Information on Investing in Goldplay OTC Stock