Aurelius Minerals Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| AURQF Stock | USD 0 0.00 0.00% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Aurelius Minerals on the next trading day is expected to be 0 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. Aurelius Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Aurelius Minerals' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
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Aurelius Minerals Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 27th of November
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Aurelius Minerals on the next trading day is expected to be 0 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Aurelius Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Aurelius Minerals' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Aurelius Minerals Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
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Aurelius Minerals Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Aurelius Minerals' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Aurelius Minerals' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 0, respectively. We have considered Aurelius Minerals' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Aurelius Minerals pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Aurelius Minerals pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | -9.223372036854776E14 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0 |
Predictive Modules for Aurelius Minerals
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aurelius Minerals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Aurelius Minerals
For every potential investor in Aurelius, whether a beginner or expert, Aurelius Minerals' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Aurelius Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Aurelius. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Aurelius Minerals' price trends.Aurelius Minerals Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Aurelius Minerals pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Aurelius Minerals could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Aurelius Minerals by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Aurelius Minerals Technical and Predictive Analytics
The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Aurelius Minerals' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Aurelius Minerals' current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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Aurelius Minerals Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Aurelius Minerals pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Aurelius Minerals shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Aurelius Minerals pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Aurelius Minerals entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 0.0015 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 0.0015 |
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Other Information on Investing in Aurelius Pink Sheet
Aurelius Minerals financial ratios help investors to determine whether Aurelius Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Aurelius with respect to the benefits of owning Aurelius Minerals security.