Applied UV Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

AUVIQDelisted Stock   0  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Applied UV on the next trading day is expected to be 0 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.000041 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. Applied Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
As of today the value of rsi of Applied UV's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Applied UV's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Applied UV, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Applied UV hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Applied UV from the perspective of Applied UV response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Applied UV on the next trading day is expected to be 0 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.000041 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.

Applied UV after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 9.67E-4  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as delisted stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in gross domestic product.

Applied UV Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Applied price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Applied using various technical indicators. When you analyze Applied charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Applied UV is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Applied UV value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Applied UV Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 9th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Applied UV on the next trading day is expected to be 0 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.000041, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Applied Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Applied UV's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Applied UV Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Applied UVApplied UV Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Applied UV stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Applied UV stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria98.7146
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.3525
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0025
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Applied UV. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Applied UV. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Applied UV

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Applied UV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.00150.05
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.000750.05
Details

Applied UV Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Applied UV stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Applied UV could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Applied UV by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Applied UV Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Applied UV stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Applied UV shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Applied UV stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Applied UV entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Applied UV Risk Indicators

The analysis of Applied UV's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Applied UV's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting applied stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in gross domestic product.
You can also try the Financial Widgets module to easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets.

Other Consideration for investing in Applied Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Applied UV check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Applied UV's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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