Avance Gas Pink Sheet Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing
| AVACF Stock | USD 0.0001 0.00 0.00% |
Avance Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Avance Gas' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 27th of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Avance Gas' share price is below 20 . This suggests that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Avance Gas hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Avance Gas Holding from the perspective of Avance Gas response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Avance Gas Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. Avance Gas after-hype prediction price | USD 1.25E-4 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Avance |
Avance Gas Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Avance price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Avance using various technical indicators. When you analyze Avance charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Avance Gas Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 28th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Avance Gas Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Avance Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Avance Gas' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Avance Gas Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Avance Gas | Avance Gas Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Avance Gas Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Avance Gas' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Avance Gas' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0001 and 0.0001, respectively. We have considered Avance Gas' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Avance Gas pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Avance Gas pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0 |
Predictive Modules for Avance Gas
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Avance Gas Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Avance Gas' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Avance Gas After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Avance Gas at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Avance Gas or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Avance Gas, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Avance Gas Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Avance Gas' pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Avance Gas' historical news coverage. Avance Gas' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 0.00, respectively. We have considered Avance Gas' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Avance Gas is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Avance Gas Holding is based on 3 months time horizon.
Avance Gas Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Avance Gas is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Avance Gas backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Avance Gas, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.0001 | 0.0001 | 25.00 |
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Avance Gas Hype Timeline
Avance Gas Holding is presently traded for 0.0001. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Avance is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 1.25E-4 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price rise on the next news is estimated to be 25.0%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.0%. The volatility of related hype on Avance Gas is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.00. Avance Gas Holding has accumulated 269.75 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.86, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Avance Gas Holding has a current ratio of 4.51, suggesting that it is liquid and has the ability to pay its financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Avance Gas until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Avance Gas' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Avance Gas Holding sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Avance to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Avance Gas' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Avance Gas to cross-verify your projections.Avance Gas Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Avance Gas' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Avance Gas' future price movements. Getting to know how Avance Gas' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Avance Gas may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TTNN | AgriSolar Solutions | (0.01) | 2 per month | 12.67 | 0.1 | 25.71 | (28.26) | 132.63 | |
| TGRO | Tiger Oil And | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| CYPE | Century Petroleum Corp | 0.00 | 3 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| ALOD | Allied Resources | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| BYOGF | Bounty Oil Gas | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 60.00 | |
| SHPNF | Shoal Point Energy | 0.00 | 2 per month | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 204.82 | |
| VNLEF | Vanoil Energy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| FSEI | First Seismic Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 88.79 | |
| FTXP | Foothills Exploration | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| JECFF | Jura Energy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for Avance Gas
For every potential investor in Avance, whether a beginner or expert, Avance Gas' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Avance Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Avance. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Avance Gas' price trends.Avance Gas Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Avance Gas pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Avance Gas could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Avance Gas by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Avance Gas Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Avance Gas pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Avance Gas shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Avance Gas pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Avance Gas Holding entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 1.0E-4 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 1.0E-4 |
Avance Gas Risk Indicators
The analysis of Avance Gas' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Avance Gas' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting avance pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 5.93 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 27.35 | |||
| Variance | 747.91 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Avance Gas
The number of cover stories for Avance Gas depends on current market conditions and Avance Gas' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Avance Gas is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Avance Gas' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Avance Pink Sheet
Avance Gas financial ratios help investors to determine whether Avance Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Avance with respect to the benefits of owning Avance Gas security.