Monitor Ventures OTC Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing
| AVCVF Stock | USD 0.09 0.00 0.00% |
Monitor OTC Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Monitor Ventures' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 27th of January 2026 the value of rsi of Monitor Ventures' share price is below 20 . This suggests that the otc stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
It is a matter of debate whether otc price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Monitor Ventures based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. Using Monitor Ventures hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Monitor Ventures from the perspective of Monitor Ventures response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Monitor Ventures on the next trading day is expected to be 0.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0002 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.01. Monitor Ventures after-hype prediction price | USD 0.09 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as otc price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Monitor |
Monitor Ventures Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Monitor price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Monitor using various technical indicators. When you analyze Monitor charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Monitor Ventures Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 28th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Monitor Ventures on the next trading day is expected to be 0.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0002, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00000169, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.01.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Monitor OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Monitor Ventures' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Monitor Ventures OTC Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Monitor Ventures | Monitor Ventures Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Monitor Ventures Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Monitor Ventures' OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Monitor Ventures' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0009 and 1.36, respectively. We have considered Monitor Ventures' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Monitor Ventures otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Monitor Ventures otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 2.0E-4 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.0E-4 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0019 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.01 |
Predictive Modules for Monitor Ventures
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Monitor Ventures. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Monitor Ventures' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Monitor Ventures After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Monitor Ventures at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Monitor Ventures or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of OTC Stock prices, such as prices of Monitor Ventures, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Monitor Ventures Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Monitor Ventures' otc stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Monitor Ventures' historical news coverage. Monitor Ventures' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 1.35, respectively. We have considered Monitor Ventures' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Monitor Ventures is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Monitor Ventures is based on 3 months time horizon.
Monitor Ventures OTC Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a OTC Stock such as Monitor Ventures is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Monitor Ventures backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the OTC price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Monitor Ventures, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.16 | 1.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.09 | 0.09 | 0.00 |
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Monitor Ventures Hype Timeline
Monitor Ventures is presently traded for 0.09. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Monitor is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.16%. %. The volatility of related hype on Monitor Ventures is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.09. About 23.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company last dividend was issued on the 20th of July 2017. Monitor Ventures had 1:25 split on the 20th of July 2017. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next anticipated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Monitor Ventures to cross-verify your projections.Monitor Ventures Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Monitor Ventures' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Monitor Ventures' future price movements. Getting to know how Monitor Ventures' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Monitor Ventures may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GOCOF | Go Metals Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 12.97 | 0.18 | 108.33 | (33.33) | 274.18 | |
| AVRTF | Avarone Metals | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 463.38 | |
| EVGUF | Evergold Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 18.58 | 0.17 | 82.35 | (38.46) | 791.05 | |
| GERFF | Glen Eagle Resources | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| MDMN | Medinah Minerals | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| BUSC | Blue Star Global | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.11 | 6.68 | (3.28) | 453.26 | |
| PGPGF | Power Group Projects | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| GESI | General European Strategic | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,098 | |
| CYLYF | Ceylon Graphite Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| SLMZF | Damara Gold Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 15.52 | 0.19 | 115.00 | (30.00) | 448.25 |
Other Forecasting Options for Monitor Ventures
For every potential investor in Monitor, whether a beginner or expert, Monitor Ventures' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Monitor OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Monitor. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Monitor Ventures' price trends.Monitor Ventures Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Monitor Ventures otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Monitor Ventures could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Monitor Ventures by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Monitor Ventures Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Monitor Ventures otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Monitor Ventures shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Monitor Ventures otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Monitor Ventures entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Monitor Ventures Risk Indicators
The analysis of Monitor Ventures' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Monitor Ventures' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting monitor otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.2984 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.23 | |||
| Variance | 1.52 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Monitor Ventures
The number of cover stories for Monitor Ventures depends on current market conditions and Monitor Ventures' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Monitor Ventures is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Monitor Ventures' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Monitor Ventures Short Properties
Monitor Ventures' future price predictability will typically decrease when Monitor Ventures' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Monitor Ventures often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Monitor Ventures' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Monitor Ventures' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.9 M | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 257.7 K |
Other Information on Investing in Monitor OTC Stock
Monitor Ventures financial ratios help investors to determine whether Monitor OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Monitor with respect to the benefits of owning Monitor Ventures security.