Allianz Global Mutual Fund Forward View - Triple Exponential Smoothing

Allianz Global Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Allianz price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Allianz using various technical indicators. When you analyze Allianz charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur. Triple exponential smoothing for Allianz Global - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Allianz Global prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Allianz Global price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Allianz Global Investors.

Allianz Global Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 13th of February 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Allianz Global Investors on the next trading day is expected to be 12.84 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.60.

Allianz Global Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

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Allianz Global Price Prediction

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Allianz Global Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Allianz Global mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Allianz Global mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Allianz Global observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Allianz Global Investors observations.

Predictive Modules for Allianz Global

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Allianz Global Investors. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 11.52 12.84 14.16 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 11.32 12.64 13.96 Details

Allianz Global After-Hype Price Density Analysis

Allianz Global Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Allianz Global Mutual Fund Price Outlook Analysis

Notes

Allianz Global Hype Timeline

Allianz Global Investors is presently traded for 12.84. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.11. Allianz is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.17%. %. The volatility of related hype on Allianz Global is about 212.9%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 12.95. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.67. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Allianz Global Investors last dividend was issued on the 26th of December 1970. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Allianz Global to cross-verify your projections.

Allianz Global Related Hype Analysis

Other Forecasting Options for Allianz Global

For every potential investor in Allianz, whether a beginner or expert, Allianz Global's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Allianz Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Allianz. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Allianz Global's price trends.

Allianz Global Related Equities

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