Atlantic Wind Pink Sheet Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing

AWSL Stock  USD 0.01  0  11.11%   
Atlantic Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of now, the relative strength index (RSI) of Atlantic Wind's share price is approaching 40. This suggests that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Atlantic Wind, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 40

 Sell Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Atlantic Wind's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Atlantic Wind and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Atlantic Wind's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Atlantic Wind Solar, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Atlantic Wind hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Atlantic Wind Solar from the perspective of Atlantic Wind response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Atlantic Wind Solar on the next trading day is expected to be 0.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.08.

Atlantic Wind after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.01  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Atlantic Wind to cross-verify your projections.

Atlantic Wind Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Atlantic price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Atlantic using various technical indicators. When you analyze Atlantic charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Atlantic Wind simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Atlantic Wind Solar are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Atlantic Wind Solar prices get older.

Atlantic Wind Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 1st of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Atlantic Wind Solar on the next trading day is expected to be 0.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00000412, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.08.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Atlantic Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Atlantic Wind's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Atlantic Wind Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Atlantic Wind Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Atlantic Wind's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Atlantic Wind's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.00008 and 14.78, respectively. We have considered Atlantic Wind's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.01
0.00008
Downside
0.01
Expected Value
14.78
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Atlantic Wind pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Atlantic Wind pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria103.8726
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 6.0E-4
MADMean absolute deviation0.0013
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.1002
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0809
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Atlantic Wind Solar forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Atlantic Wind observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Atlantic Wind

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Atlantic Wind Solar. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Atlantic Wind's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0114.78
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0114.78
Details

Atlantic Wind After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Atlantic Wind at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Atlantic Wind or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Atlantic Wind, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Atlantic Wind Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Atlantic Wind's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Atlantic Wind's historical news coverage. Atlantic Wind's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 14.78, respectively. We have considered Atlantic Wind's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.01
0.01
After-hype Price
14.78
Upside
Atlantic Wind is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Atlantic Wind Solar is based on 3 months time horizon.

Atlantic Wind Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Atlantic Wind is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Atlantic Wind backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Atlantic Wind, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.95 
14.77
 0.00  
  0.06 
0 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.01
0.01
25.00 
0.00  
Notes

Atlantic Wind Hype Timeline

Atlantic Wind Solar is presently traded for 0.01. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.06. Atlantic is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.01 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price upswing on the next news is estimated to be 25.0%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.95%. The volatility of related hype on Atlantic Wind is about 24911.45%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of -0.05. Atlantic Wind Solar currently holds 120 K in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 4.0, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Atlantic Wind Solar has a current ratio of 322.53, suggesting that it is liquid enough and is able to pay its financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Atlantic Wind until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Atlantic Wind's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Atlantic Wind Solar sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Atlantic to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Atlantic Wind's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Atlantic Wind to cross-verify your projections.

Atlantic Wind Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Atlantic Wind's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Atlantic Wind's future price movements. Getting to know how Atlantic Wind's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Atlantic Wind may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
RROYFRE Royalties(0.23)1 per month 2.98  0.07  9.52 (5.26) 37.19 
EVGIFEverGen Infrastructure Corp(0.35)4 per month 0.00 (0) 3.13 (2.86) 35.90 
CLNVClean Vision Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.15) 11.67 (13.01) 42.44 
DOMWFDominion Water Reserves 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.11  34.83 (17.07) 395.00 
CPWROcean Thermal Energy 0.00 0 per month 17.28  0.20  60.95 (37.42) 678.05 
GDYMFReNu Energy Limited 0.00 2 per month 0.00  0.12  0.00  0.00  6,731 
GEBRFGreenbriar Capital Corp 0.00 0 per month 16.22  0.15  54.93 (37.50) 310.82 
FNECFirst National Energy(0.01)1 per month 0.00  0.11  0.00  0.00  1,028 
ASREAstra Energy 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.01) 21.21 (19.13) 62.21 
VXITVirExit Technologies 0.00 0 per month 10.92  0.14  33.33 (25.00) 91.67 

Other Forecasting Options for Atlantic Wind

For every potential investor in Atlantic, whether a beginner or expert, Atlantic Wind's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Atlantic Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Atlantic. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Atlantic Wind's price trends.

Atlantic Wind Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Atlantic Wind pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Atlantic Wind could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Atlantic Wind by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Atlantic Wind Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Atlantic Wind pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Atlantic Wind shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Atlantic Wind pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Atlantic Wind Solar entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Atlantic Wind Risk Indicators

The analysis of Atlantic Wind's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Atlantic Wind's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting atlantic pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Atlantic Wind

The number of cover stories for Atlantic Wind depends on current market conditions and Atlantic Wind's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Atlantic Wind is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Atlantic Wind's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Other Information on Investing in Atlantic Pink Sheet

Atlantic Wind financial ratios help investors to determine whether Atlantic Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Atlantic with respect to the benefits of owning Atlantic Wind security.