AXA SA Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

AXAN Stock  MXN 521.22  0.00  0.00%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of AXA SA on the next trading day is expected to be 521.22 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. AXA Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
An 8-period moving average forecast model for AXA SA is based on an artificially constructed time series of AXA SA daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

AXA SA 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 12th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of AXA SA on the next trading day is expected to be 521.22 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict AXA Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that AXA SA's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

AXA SA Stock Forecast Pattern

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AXA SA Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting AXA SA's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. AXA SA's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 521.22 and 521.22, respectively. We have considered AXA SA's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
521.22
521.22
Downside
521.22
Expected Value
521.22
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of AXA SA stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent AXA SA stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria43.7968
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. AXA SA 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for AXA SA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AXA SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
521.22521.22521.22
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
521.22521.22521.22
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
521.22521.22521.22
Details

Other Forecasting Options for AXA SA

For every potential investor in AXA, whether a beginner or expert, AXA SA's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. AXA Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in AXA. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying AXA SA's price trends.

AXA SA Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with AXA SA stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of AXA SA could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing AXA SA by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

AXA SA Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of AXA SA's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of AXA SA's current price.

AXA SA Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how AXA SA stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading AXA SA shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying AXA SA stock market strength indicators, traders can identify AXA SA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for AXA Stock Analysis

When running AXA SA's price analysis, check to measure AXA SA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AXA SA is operating at the current time. Most of AXA SA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AXA SA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AXA SA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AXA SA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.