Axolot Solutions Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

AXOLOT Stock  SEK 0.30  0.01  3.45%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Axolot Solutions Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 0.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.64. Axolot Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Axolot Solutions stock prices and determine the direction of Axolot Solutions Holding's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Axolot Solutions' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time the value of rsi of Axolot Solutions' share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Axolot Solutions' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Axolot Solutions Holding, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Axolot Solutions hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Axolot Solutions Holding from the perspective of Axolot Solutions response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Axolot Solutions Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 0.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.64.

Axolot Solutions after-hype prediction price

    
  SEK 0.3  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Axolot Solutions to cross-verify your projections.

Axolot Solutions Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Axolot price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Axolot using various technical indicators. When you analyze Axolot charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Triple exponential smoothing for Axolot Solutions - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Axolot Solutions prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Axolot Solutions price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Axolot Solutions Holding.

Axolot Solutions Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 3rd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Axolot Solutions Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 0.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0002, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.64.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Axolot Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Axolot Solutions' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Axolot Solutions Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Axolot SolutionsAxolot Solutions Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Axolot Solutions Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Axolot Solutions' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Axolot Solutions' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 4.03, respectively. We have considered Axolot Solutions' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.30
0.30
Expected Value
4.03
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Axolot Solutions stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Axolot Solutions stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0023
MADMean absolute deviation0.0108
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0302
SAESum of the absolute errors0.6391
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Axolot Solutions observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Axolot Solutions Holding observations.

Predictive Modules for Axolot Solutions

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Axolot Solutions Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.304.03
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.284.01
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Axolot Solutions

For every potential investor in Axolot, whether a beginner or expert, Axolot Solutions' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Axolot Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Axolot. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Axolot Solutions' price trends.

Axolot Solutions Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Axolot Solutions stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Axolot Solutions could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Axolot Solutions by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Axolot Solutions Holding Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Axolot Solutions' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Axolot Solutions' current price.

Axolot Solutions Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Axolot Solutions stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Axolot Solutions shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Axolot Solutions stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Axolot Solutions Holding entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Axolot Solutions Risk Indicators

The analysis of Axolot Solutions' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Axolot Solutions' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting axolot stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
Explore Investing Ideas  

Other Information on Investing in Axolot Stock

Axolot Solutions financial ratios help investors to determine whether Axolot Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Axolot with respect to the benefits of owning Axolot Solutions security.