AMREP Stock Forward View - 8 Period Moving Average

AXR Stock  USD 26.79  -0.36  -1.33%   
8 Period Moving Average is applied to AMREP's daily closing prices, and the resulting forecast is presented with accuracy metrics. Wide deviation between fitted and observed values suggests the model's assumptions may not match current market conditions. The 8 Period Moving Average model projects AMREP at 27.45 for the next trading day, above the most recent closing price. This 8 Period Moving Average output is provided as analytical reference and does not constitute a trading recommendation.
The eight-period moving average forecast for AMREP replaces each daily closing price with the mean of that value and the eight preceding observations. This wider window produces a smoother series that filters out short-term volatility.

8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 8th of May

Over a 90-day horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average model forecasts AMREP at 27.45 for the next trading day, with a mean absolute deviation of 0.89 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.03 , and sum of absolute errors of 47.39 .
This represents a tight forecast with good short-term tracking of AMREP's price movement. This output is intended for short-term analytical reference.

Stock Forecast Pattern

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Forecasted Value

This forecast for AMREP frames the expected trading range using downside and upside bounds rather than a single point target. The current forecast range spans downside near 24.13 and upside near 30.77. The wide range indicates elevated uncertainty in short-term projections.
Market Value
26.79
27.45
Expected Value
30.77

Model Predictive Factors

The table below summarizes the 8 Period Moving Average model's error metrics for AMREP stock. Lower MAD and MAPE values indicate tighter forecast accuracy. AIC measures relative model quality — lower values indicate less information loss and a better-fitting model. A large Bias suggests systematic over- or under-prediction.
AICAkaike Information Criteria103.8571
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.1593
MADMean absolute deviation0.8942
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0334
SAESum of the absolute errors47.3913
The eight-period window effectively dampens daily peaks and troughs in AMREP price data, making the underlying trend more visible. However, the model can only be used reliably for one or two periods ahead. A flat forecast line in a trending market indicates the smoothing window is too wide for the current price dynamics.

Other Forecasting Options for AMREP

AMREP's daily price returns decompose into trend, seasonal, and residual components. Divergence between short-term and long-term averages in AMREP often signals an upcoming reversal or acceleration.

AMREP Related Equities

These related stocks within the Industrials space give benchmarks for judging AMREP's results, margins, and growth trend. Growth rate gaps between AMREP and its peers often explain pricing differences in the market.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

AMREP Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators for AMREP stock provide a framework for assessing security responsiveness. A rising Accumulation/Distribution line alongside rising price confirms institutional buying interest in AMREP.

AMREP Risk Indicators

Assessing AMREP's risk indicators is a structured way to evaluate the risk-return trade-off for amrep stock. The level of risk embedded in AMREP's feeds directly into exposure calibration.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

AMREP Short Properties

Reviewing short-oriented indicators for AMREP is useful because long and short participants often create very different signals for timing and volatility. The practical goal is to identify when the balance between long and short participation may be changing the quality of the setup.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding5.37 million
Cash And Short Term Investments39.92 million

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