Amarc Resources OTC Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing
| AXREF Stock | USD 1.08 0.01 0.93% |
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Amarc Resources on the next trading day is expected to be 1.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.75. Amarc OTC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Amarc Resources' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 23rd of January 2026 the value of rsi of Amarc Resources' share price is below 20 . This suggests that the otc stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
It is a matter of debate whether otc price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Amarc Resources based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. Using Amarc Resources hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Amarc Resources from the perspective of Amarc Resources response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Amarc Resources on the next trading day is expected to be 1.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.75. Amarc Resources after-hype prediction price | USD 1.16 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as otc price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Amarc |
Amarc Resources Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Amarc price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Amarc using various technical indicators. When you analyze Amarc charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Amarc Resources Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Amarc Resources on the next trading day is expected to be 1.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.75.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Amarc OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Amarc Resources' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Amarc Resources OTC Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Amarc Resources | Amarc Resources Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Amarc Resources Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Amarc Resources' OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Amarc Resources' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 5.52, respectively. We have considered Amarc Resources' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Amarc Resources otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Amarc Resources otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0066 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0291 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0344 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 1.7481 |
Predictive Modules for Amarc Resources
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Amarc Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Amarc Resources' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Amarc Resources After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Amarc Resources at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Amarc Resources or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of OTC Stock prices, such as prices of Amarc Resources, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Amarc Resources Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Amarc Resources' otc stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Amarc Resources' historical news coverage. Amarc Resources' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.06 and 5.59, respectively. We have considered Amarc Resources' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Amarc Resources is extremely dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Amarc Resources is based on 3 months time horizon.
Amarc Resources OTC Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a OTC Stock such as Amarc Resources is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Amarc Resources backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the OTC price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Amarc Resources, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.87 | 4.43 | 0.08 | 0.06 | 3 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
1.08 | 1.16 | 7.41 |
|
Amarc Resources Hype Timeline
Amarc Resources is presently traded for 1.08. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.08, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.06. Amarc is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 1.16 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price rise on the next news is projected to be 7.41%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.87%. The volatility of related hype on Amarc Resources is about 6420.29%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.02. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 3 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Amarc Resources to cross-verify your projections.Amarc Resources Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Amarc Resources' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Amarc Resources' future price movements. Getting to know how Amarc Resources' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Amarc Resources may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PTTMF | PT TIMAH Tbk | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| ARRNF | American Rare Earths | 0.09 | 15 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 11.11 | (9.68) | 24.58 | |
| MDNGF | Midnight Sun Mining | 0.09 | 10 per month | 4.56 | 0.05 | 8.49 | (7.61) | 28.01 | |
| GPPRF | Cerro de Pasco | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.13 | 0.15 | 8.82 | (5.88) | 19.66 | |
| PNPNF | Power Nickel | 0.09 | 23 per month | 4.18 | 0.03 | 9.72 | (8.08) | 24.64 | |
| CNIKF | Canada Nickel | 0.09 | 6 per month | 3.96 | 0.21 | 10.42 | (7.55) | 38.74 | |
| AAGFF | Aftermath Silver | 0.09 | 12 per month | 4.13 | 0.15 | 10.00 | (7.46) | 23.58 | |
| TSKFF | Talisker Resources | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.50 | 0.09 | 8.08 | (6.93) | 15.77 | |
| CTTZF | Centaurus Metals Limited | 0.09 | 6 per month | 3.45 | 0.13 | 10.71 | (6.45) | 22.12 | |
| JMXXF | Jupiter Mines Limited | (1.23) | 13 per month | 39.10 | 0.29 | 762.75 | (90.19) | 3,923 |
Other Forecasting Options for Amarc Resources
For every potential investor in Amarc, whether a beginner or expert, Amarc Resources' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Amarc OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Amarc. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Amarc Resources' price trends.Amarc Resources Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Amarc Resources otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Amarc Resources could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Amarc Resources by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Amarc Resources Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Amarc Resources otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Amarc Resources shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Amarc Resources otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Amarc Resources entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 1.08 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 1.08 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.005 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.01 |
Amarc Resources Risk Indicators
The analysis of Amarc Resources' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Amarc Resources' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting amarc otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.26 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.42 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.54 | |||
| Variance | 20.64 | |||
| Downside Variance | 18.12 | |||
| Semi Variance | 11.67 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (4.40) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Amarc Resources
The number of cover stories for Amarc Resources depends on current market conditions and Amarc Resources' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Amarc Resources is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Amarc Resources' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Story Categories
Currently Trending Categories
Amarc Resources Short Properties
Amarc Resources' future price predictability will typically decrease when Amarc Resources' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Amarc Resources often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Amarc Resources' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Amarc Resources' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 186.6 M | |
| Shares Float | 135.5 M |
Other Information on Investing in Amarc OTC Stock
Amarc Resources financial ratios help investors to determine whether Amarc OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Amarc with respect to the benefits of owning Amarc Resources security.