Ayala Land Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Regression
| AYAAF Stock | USD 0.35 0.00 0.00% |
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Ayala Land on the next trading day is expected to be 0.32 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.19. Ayala Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Ayala Land's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Ayala |
Ayala Land Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 29th of December
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Ayala Land on the next trading day is expected to be 0.32 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0008, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.19.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Ayala Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Ayala Land's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Ayala Land Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
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Ayala Land Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Ayala Land's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Ayala Land's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 4.51, respectively. We have considered Ayala Land's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Ayala Land pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Ayala Land pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 110.957 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0195 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0584 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 1.1866 |
Predictive Modules for Ayala Land
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ayala Land. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Ayala Land
For every potential investor in Ayala, whether a beginner or expert, Ayala Land's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Ayala Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Ayala. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Ayala Land's price trends.Ayala Land Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Ayala Land pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Ayala Land could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ayala Land by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Ayala Land Technical and Predictive Analytics
The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Ayala Land's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Ayala Land's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Ayala Land Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Ayala Land pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Ayala Land shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Ayala Land pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Ayala Land entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Ayala Land Risk Indicators
The analysis of Ayala Land's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Ayala Land's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ayala pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.85 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.56 | |||
| Variance | 20.8 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Other Information on Investing in Ayala Pink Sheet
Ayala Land financial ratios help investors to determine whether Ayala Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Ayala with respect to the benefits of owning Ayala Land security.