Amazonas Florestal Pink Sheet Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

AZFL Stock  USD 0.0001  0.00  0.00%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Amazonas Florestal on the next trading day is expected to be 0.000099 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.000012 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.0007. Amazonas Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Amazonas Florestal works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Amazonas Florestal Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 28th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Amazonas Florestal on the next trading day is expected to be 0.000099 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.000012, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.0007.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Amazonas Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Amazonas Florestal's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Amazonas Florestal Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Amazonas Florestal Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Amazonas Florestal's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Amazonas Florestal's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.000001 and 178.19, respectively. We have considered Amazonas Florestal's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.0001
0.000001
Downside
0.000099
Expected Value
178.19
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Amazonas Florestal pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Amazonas Florestal pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error9.223372036854776E14
SAESum of the absolute errors7.0E-4
When Amazonas Florestal prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Amazonas Florestal trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Amazonas Florestal observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Amazonas Florestal

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Amazonas Florestal. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.00009750.01
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.00006250.01
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
0.00010.00010.0001
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Amazonas Florestal. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Amazonas Florestal's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Amazonas Florestal's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Amazonas Florestal.

Other Forecasting Options for Amazonas Florestal

For every potential investor in Amazonas, whether a beginner or expert, Amazonas Florestal's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Amazonas Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Amazonas. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Amazonas Florestal's price trends.

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Amazonas Florestal Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Amazonas Florestal's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Amazonas Florestal's current price.

Amazonas Florestal Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Amazonas Florestal pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Amazonas Florestal shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Amazonas Florestal pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Amazonas Florestal entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

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Other Information on Investing in Amazonas Pink Sheet

Amazonas Florestal financial ratios help investors to determine whether Amazonas Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Amazonas with respect to the benefits of owning Amazonas Florestal security.