Baxter International Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| B1AX34 Stock | 54.66 1.10 1.97% |
Baxter Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Baxter International stock prices and determine the direction of Baxter International's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Baxter International's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time, the value of RSI of Baxter International's share price is approaching 34 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Baxter International, making its price go up or down. Momentum 34
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Baxter International hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Baxter International from the perspective of Baxter International response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Baxter International on the next trading day is expected to be 55.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.53 and the sum of the absolute errors of 95.00. Baxter International after-hype prediction price | BRL 54.66 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Baxter |
Baxter International Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Baxter price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Baxter using various technical indicators. When you analyze Baxter charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Baxter International Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 25th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Baxter International on the next trading day is expected to be 55.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.53, mean absolute percentage error of 3.57, and the sum of the absolute errors of 95.00.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Baxter Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Baxter International's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Baxter International Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Baxter International | Baxter International Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Baxter International Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Baxter International's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Baxter International's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 51.76 and 58.49, respectively. We have considered Baxter International's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Baxter International stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Baxter International stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 121.221 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.5323 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.029 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 95.0022 |
Predictive Modules for Baxter International
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Baxter International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Baxter International After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Baxter International at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Baxter International or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Baxter International, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Baxter International Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Baxter International's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Baxter International's historical news coverage. Baxter International's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 51.30 and 58.02, respectively. We have considered Baxter International's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Baxter International is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Baxter International is based on 3 months time horizon.
Baxter International Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Baxter International is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Baxter International backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Baxter International, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.14 | 3.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
54.66 | 54.66 | 0.00 |
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Baxter International Hype Timeline
Baxter International is currently traded for 54.66on Sao Paulo Exchange of Brazil. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Baxter is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.14%. %. The volatility of related hype on Baxter International is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 54.66. The book value of the company was currently reported as 11.56. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.7. Baxter International recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.18. The entity last dividend was issued on the 1st of December 2022. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Baxter International to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Baxter Stock refer to our How to Trade Baxter Stock guide.Baxter International Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Baxter International's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Baxter International's future price movements. Getting to know how Baxter International's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Baxter International may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| H1RL34 | Hormel Foods | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.68 | 0.06 | 1.84 | (1.01) | 11.72 | |
| TSNF34 | Tyson Foods | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.42 | 0.06 | 0.62 | (1.53) | 15.02 | |
| Z1OM34 | Zoom Video Communications | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.75 | (0.02) | 4.27 | (5.11) | 16.59 | |
| THGI34 | The Hanover Insurance | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (1.41) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.39 | |
| A1LL34 | Bread Financial Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.12 | 0.04 | 4.43 | (2.75) | 17.03 | |
| M1UF34 | Mitsubishi UFJ Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.37 | 0.13 | 3.16 | (2.83) | 9.07 | |
| C1FG34 | Citizens Financial Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.20 | 2.18 | (0.41) | 9.55 |
Other Forecasting Options for Baxter International
For every potential investor in Baxter, whether a beginner or expert, Baxter International's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Baxter Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Baxter. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Baxter International's price trends.Baxter International Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Baxter International stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Baxter International could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Baxter International by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Baxter International Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Baxter International stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Baxter International shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Baxter International stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Baxter International entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 54.66 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 54.66 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.55) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (1.10) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 34.09 |
Baxter International Risk Indicators
The analysis of Baxter International's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Baxter International's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting baxter stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.1 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.07 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.25 | |||
| Variance | 10.59 | |||
| Downside Variance | 12.86 | |||
| Semi Variance | 9.44 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.42) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Baxter International
The number of cover stories for Baxter International depends on current market conditions and Baxter International's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Baxter International is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Baxter International's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Baxter Stock
When determining whether Baxter International offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Baxter International's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Baxter International Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Baxter International Stock:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Baxter International to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Baxter Stock refer to our How to Trade Baxter Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio Center module to all portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios.