Julius Baer Stock Forward View

Julius Baer Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Julius price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Julius using various technical indicators. When you analyze Julius charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur. A naive forecasting model for Julius Baer is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Julius Baer Gruppe value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Julius Baer Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Julius Baer Gruppe on the next trading day is expected to be 66.55 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.77, mean absolute percentage error of 0.93, and the sum of the absolute errors of 47.01.

Julius Baer Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Julius Baer

Julius Baer Price Prediction

Research Analysis

Julius Baer Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Julius Baer stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Julius Baer stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Julius Baer Gruppe. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Julius Baer. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Julius Baer

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Julius Baer Gruppe. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 64.41 65.97 67.53 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 62.39 63.95 72.53 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 45.50 64.90 84.30 Details

Earnings Estimates (0) Low Projected EPS High 1.25 1.32 1.51 Details

Julius Baer After-Hype Price Density Analysis

Julius Baer Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Julius Baer Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Notes

Julius Baer Hype Timeline

Julius Baer Gruppe is currently traded for 65.94on SIX Swiss Exchange of Switzerland. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.04. Julius is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 65.97 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price increase on the next news is anticipated to be 0.05%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.26%. The volatility of related hype on Julius Baer is about 975.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 65.98. The company reported the revenue of 3.76 B. Net Income was 763.8 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.76 B. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Julius Baer to cross-verify your projections.

Julius Baer Related Hype Analysis

Other Forecasting Options for Julius Baer

For every potential investor in Julius, whether a beginner or expert, Julius Baer's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Julius Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Julius. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Julius Baer's price trends.

Julius Baer Related Equities

Risk & Return

Correlation

Julius Baer Market Strength Events

Julius Baer Risk Indicators

Story Coverage note for Julius Baer

Other Macroaxis Stories

Additional Tools for Julius Stock Analysis