Baba Farid Stock Forward View - 20 Period Moving Average
| BAFS Stock | 239.60 9.19 3.69% |
Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Baba Farid hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Baba Farid Sugar from the perspective of Baba Farid response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Baba Farid Sugar on the next trading day is expected to be 267.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 20.38 and the sum of the absolute errors of 835.51. Baba Farid after-hype prediction price | PKR 239.6 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Baba |
Baba Farid Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Baba price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Baba using various technical indicators. When you analyze Baba charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Baba Farid 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 16th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Baba Farid Sugar on the next trading day is expected to be 267.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 20.38, mean absolute percentage error of 536.45, and the sum of the absolute errors of 835.51.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Baba Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Baba Farid's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Baba Farid Stock Forecast Pattern
Baba Farid Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Baba Farid's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Baba Farid's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 263.01 and 271.01, respectively. We have considered Baba Farid's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Baba Farid stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Baba Farid stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 87.6379 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 13.3776 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 20.3783 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0727 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 835.511 |
Predictive Modules for Baba Farid
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Baba Farid Sugar. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Baba Farid Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
As far as predicting the price of Baba Farid at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Baba Farid or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Baba Farid, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Baba Farid Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Baba Farid is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Baba Farid backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Baba Farid, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.04 | 4.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
239.60 | 239.60 | 0.00 |
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Baba Farid Hype Timeline
Baba Farid Sugar is currently traded for 239.60on Karachi Stock Exchange of Pakistan. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Baba is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.04%. %. The volatility of related hype on Baba Farid is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 239.60. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.Baba Farid Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Baba Farid's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Baba Farid's future price movements. Getting to know how Baba Farid's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Baba Farid may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BAFS | Baba Farid Sugar | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 7.26 | (5.98) | 16.10 | |
| MARI | Mari Energies | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.69 | (0.07) | 1.76 | (1.33) | 4.52 | |
| MTL | Millat Tractors | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.79 | 0.02 | 2.30 | (1.69) | 5.34 | |
| MCB-CMAR | MCB Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.10 | 0.08 | 3.23 | (2.28) | 10.58 | |
| TCORPCPS | Tariq CorpPref | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.90 | 0.17 | 10.03 | (7.71) | 21.10 | |
| POL | Pakistan Oilfields | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.88 | 0.05 | 2.21 | (1.47) | 10.06 | |
| ARUJ | Aruj Industries | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 7.39 | (6.20) | 19.98 | |
| ILP | Interloop | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.35 | 0.10 | 3.32 | (2.75) | 13.48 | |
| EFERT-CMAR | Engro Fertert | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 3.97 | (3.43) | 13.78 | |
| NRL | National Refinery | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.86 | 0.09 | 5.32 | (3.65) | 14.73 |
Other Forecasting Options for Baba Farid
For every potential investor in Baba, whether a beginner or expert, Baba Farid's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Baba Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Baba. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Baba Farid's price trends.Baba Farid Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Baba Farid stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Baba Farid could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Baba Farid by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Baba Farid Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Baba Farid stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Baba Farid shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Baba Farid stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Baba Farid Sugar entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.0547 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.67) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.96 | |||
| Day Median Price | 245.1 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 243.27 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 13.78 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (10.10) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (9.19) |
Baba Farid Risk Indicators
The analysis of Baba Farid's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Baba Farid's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting baba stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.19 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.06 | |||
| Variance | 16.5 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Baba Farid
The number of cover stories for Baba Farid depends on current market conditions and Baba Farid's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Baba Farid is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Baba Farid's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
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