Baird Aggregate Mutual Fund Forecast - Naive Prediction

BAGIX Fund  USD 9.96  0.01  0.10%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Baird Aggregate Bond on the next trading day is expected to be 9.92 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.02. Baird Mutual Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Baird Aggregate's share price is below 20 suggesting that the mutual fund is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Baird Aggregate's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Baird Aggregate Bond, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Baird Aggregate hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Baird Aggregate Bond from the perspective of Baird Aggregate response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Baird Aggregate Bond on the next trading day is expected to be 9.92 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.02.

Baird Aggregate after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 9.95  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Baird Aggregate to cross-verify your projections.

Baird Aggregate Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Baird price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Baird using various technical indicators. When you analyze Baird charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Baird Aggregate is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Baird Aggregate Bond value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Baird Aggregate Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Baird Aggregate Bond on the next trading day is expected to be 9.92 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0004, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.02.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Baird Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Baird Aggregate's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Baird Aggregate Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

Backtest Baird AggregateBaird Aggregate Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Baird Aggregate Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Baird Aggregate's Mutual Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Baird Aggregate's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 9.72 and 10.12, respectively. We have considered Baird Aggregate's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
9.96
9.92
Expected Value
10.12
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Baird Aggregate mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Baird Aggregate mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria110.3846
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0168
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0017
SAESum of the absolute errors1.0221
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Baird Aggregate Bond. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Baird Aggregate. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Baird Aggregate

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Baird Aggregate Bond. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.759.9510.15
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.749.9410.14
Details

Baird Aggregate After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Baird Aggregate at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Baird Aggregate or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Mutual Fund prices, such as prices of Baird Aggregate, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Baird Aggregate Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Baird Aggregate's mutual fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Baird Aggregate's historical news coverage. Baird Aggregate's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 9.75 and 10.15, respectively. We have considered Baird Aggregate's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
9.96
9.95
After-hype Price
10.15
Upside
Baird Aggregate is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Baird Aggregate Bond is based on 3 months time horizon.

Baird Aggregate Mutual Fund Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Mutual Fund such as Baird Aggregate is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Baird Aggregate backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Baird Aggregate, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.00  
0.20
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
9.96
9.95
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Baird Aggregate Hype Timeline

Baird Aggregate Bond is currently traded for 9.96. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Baird is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Baird Aggregate is about 625.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 9.96. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Baird Aggregate to cross-verify your projections.

Baird Aggregate Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Baird Aggregate's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Baird Aggregate's future price movements. Getting to know how Baird Aggregate's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Baird Aggregate may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
BAGSXBaird Aggregate Bond 0.00 4 per month 0.00 (0.58) 0.19 (0.29) 0.77 
BCOSXBaird E Plus 0.00 1 per month 0.17 (0.56) 0.28 (0.28) 0.83 
JCBZXJpmorgan E Bond 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.60) 0.19 (0.38) 0.77 
BCOIXBaird E Plus 0.01 1 per month 0.18 (0.55) 0.29 (0.39) 0.78 
GSIYXGoldman Sachs Gqg 0.00 0 per month 0.30 (0.02) 0.98 (0.79) 4.16 
MEIIXMfs Value Fund 0.00 0 per month 0.28  0.09  1.23 (1.02) 11.47 
MEIAXMfs Value Fund 0.00 0 per month 0.30  0.10  1.22 (1.03) 11.57 
MEIKXMfs Value Fund 0.31 1 per month 0.29  0.1  1.24 (1.03) 11.57 
RFFTXAmerican Funds 2035 0.00 0 per month 0.42 (0.09) 0.80 (0.83) 2.24 
FAQTXAmerican Funds 2035 0.00 1 per month 0.42 (0.09) 0.77 (0.84) 2.22 

Other Forecasting Options for Baird Aggregate

For every potential investor in Baird, whether a beginner or expert, Baird Aggregate's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Baird Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Baird. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Baird Aggregate's price trends.

Baird Aggregate Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Baird Aggregate mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Baird Aggregate could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Baird Aggregate by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Baird Aggregate Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Baird Aggregate mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Baird Aggregate shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Baird Aggregate mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Baird Aggregate Bond entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Baird Aggregate Risk Indicators

The analysis of Baird Aggregate's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Baird Aggregate's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting baird mutual fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Baird Aggregate

The number of cover stories for Baird Aggregate depends on current market conditions and Baird Aggregate's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Baird Aggregate is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Baird Aggregate's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Other Information on Investing in Baird Mutual Fund

Baird Aggregate financial ratios help investors to determine whether Baird Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Baird with respect to the benefits of owning Baird Aggregate security.
Technical Analysis
Check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data
Portfolio Manager
State of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital