BankInvest Danske Fund Forecast - Simple Moving Average

BAIDKAA Fund  DKK 117.20  0.75  0.64%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of BankInvest Danske on the next trading day is expected to be 117.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.83 and the sum of the absolute errors of 49.82. BankInvest Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast BankInvest Danske stock prices and determine the direction of BankInvest Danske's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of BankInvest Danske's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A two period moving average forecast for BankInvest Danske is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

BankInvest Danske Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 13th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of BankInvest Danske on the next trading day is expected to be 117.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.83, mean absolute percentage error of 0.98, and the sum of the absolute errors of 49.82.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict BankInvest Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that BankInvest Danske's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

BankInvest Danske Fund Forecast Pattern

BankInvest Danske Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting BankInvest Danske's Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. BankInvest Danske's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 116.42 and 117.98, respectively. We have considered BankInvest Danske's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
117.20
116.42
Downside
117.20
Expected Value
117.98
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of BankInvest Danske fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent BankInvest Danske fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.2509
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.1404
MADMean absolute deviation0.8304
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0071
SAESum of the absolute errors49.825
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of BankInvest Danske price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of BankInvest Danske. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for BankInvest Danske

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BankInvest Danske. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
116.42117.20117.98
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
116.75117.53118.31
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
117.04117.67118.30
Details

Other Forecasting Options for BankInvest Danske

For every potential investor in BankInvest, whether a beginner or expert, BankInvest Danske's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. BankInvest Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in BankInvest. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying BankInvest Danske's price trends.

BankInvest Danske Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with BankInvest Danske fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of BankInvest Danske could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing BankInvest Danske by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

BankInvest Danske Technical and Predictive Analytics

The fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of BankInvest Danske's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of BankInvest Danske's current price.

BankInvest Danske Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how BankInvest Danske fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading BankInvest Danske shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying BankInvest Danske fund market strength indicators, traders can identify BankInvest Danske entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

BankInvest Danske Risk Indicators

The analysis of BankInvest Danske's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in BankInvest Danske's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting bankinvest fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with BankInvest Danske

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if BankInvest Danske position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in BankInvest Danske will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against BankInvest Fund

  0.65JYIKOB Jyske Invest KortePairCorr
  0.59MAJVAA Maj Invest ValuePairCorr
  0.46JYILOB Jyske Invest LangePairCorr
  0.43JYIVIRK Jyske Invest VirksomPairCorr
  0.36JYIHRV Jyske Invest HjtPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to BankInvest Danske could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace BankInvest Danske when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back BankInvest Danske - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling BankInvest Danske to buy it.
The correlation of BankInvest Danske is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as BankInvest Danske moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if BankInvest Danske moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for BankInvest Danske can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in BankInvest Fund

BankInvest Danske financial ratios help investors to determine whether BankInvest Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in BankInvest with respect to the benefits of owning BankInvest Danske security.
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