Bayerische Motoren Pink Sheet Forward View - Simple Regression

BAMXF Stock  USD 99.58  0.59  0.60%   
Bayerische Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Bayerische Motoren's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 1st of February 2026, the relative strength index (RSI) of Bayerische Motoren's share price is approaching 47 suggesting that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Bayerische Motoren, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 47

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Bayerische Motoren's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Bayerische Motoren and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Bayerische Motoren's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Bayerische Motoren Werke, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Bayerische Motoren hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Bayerische Motoren Werke from the perspective of Bayerische Motoren response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Bayerische Motoren Werke on the next trading day is expected to be 106.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.23 and the sum of the absolute errors of 197.23.

Bayerische Motoren after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 99.58  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Bayerische Motoren to cross-verify your projections.

Bayerische Motoren Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Bayerische price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Bayerische using various technical indicators. When you analyze Bayerische charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Bayerische Motoren price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Bayerische Motoren Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 2nd of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Bayerische Motoren Werke on the next trading day is expected to be 106.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.23, mean absolute percentage error of 16.35, and the sum of the absolute errors of 197.23.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Bayerische Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Bayerische Motoren's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Bayerische Motoren Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Bayerische Motoren  Bayerische Motoren Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Bayerische Motoren Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Bayerische Motoren's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Bayerische Motoren's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 103.47 and 108.57, respectively. We have considered Bayerische Motoren's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
99.58
103.47
Downside
106.02
Expected Value
108.57
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Bayerische Motoren pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Bayerische Motoren pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria120.9046
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation3.2332
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0314
SAESum of the absolute errors197.2271
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Bayerische Motoren Werke historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Bayerische Motoren

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bayerische Motoren Werke. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Bayerische Motoren's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
97.0399.58102.13
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
81.8084.35109.54
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
96.82104.13111.44
Details

Bayerische Motoren After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Bayerische Motoren at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Bayerische Motoren or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Bayerische Motoren, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Bayerische Motoren Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Bayerische Motoren's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Bayerische Motoren's historical news coverage. Bayerische Motoren's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 97.03 and 102.13, respectively. We have considered Bayerische Motoren's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
99.58
99.58
After-hype Price
102.13
Upside
Bayerische Motoren is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Bayerische Motoren Werke is based on 3 months time horizon.

Bayerische Motoren Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Bayerische Motoren is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Bayerische Motoren backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Bayerische Motoren, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.12 
2.55
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
99.58
99.58
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Bayerische Motoren Hype Timeline

Bayerische Motoren Werke is currently traded for 99.58. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Bayerische is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.12%. %. The volatility of related hype on Bayerische Motoren is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 99.58. About 47.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.64. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Bayerische Motoren Werke has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.26. The entity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 29.29. The firm last dividend was issued on the 12th of May 2022. Bayerische Motoren had 26:1 split on the 23rd of August 1999. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next anticipated press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Bayerische Motoren to cross-verify your projections.

Bayerische Motoren Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Bayerische Motoren's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Bayerische Motoren's future price movements. Getting to know how Bayerische Motoren's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Bayerische Motoren may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
VWAGYVolkswagen AG 110 0.00 0 per month 1.26  0.09  2.87 (2.43) 6.25 
VWAPYVolkswagen AG Pref 0.00 0 per month 1.28  0.11  2.69 (2.56) 6.49 
VLKAFVolkswagen AG 0.00 0 per month 2.21  0.08  4.22 (3.49) 10.11 
VLKPFVolkswagen AG VZO 0.00 0 per month 1.69  0.09  3.92 (3.32) 11.77 
MBGYYMercedes Benz Group AG 0.00 0 per month 1.33  0.01  2.79 (2.45) 7.29 
MBGAFMercedes Benz Group AG 0.00 0 per month 1.43  0.01  3.01 (2.62) 6.85 
HNDAFHonda Motor Co 0.00 0 per month 2.49  0.01  6.53 (5.35) 16.07 
MAHMFMahindra Mahindra Limited 0.00 0 per month 1.44 (0.01) 2.33 (3.43) 14.83 
DRPRFDr Ing hc 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.10) 2.50 (4.26) 15.07 
DRPRYDr Ing hc 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.08) 3.14 (2.98) 9.33 

Other Forecasting Options for Bayerische Motoren

For every potential investor in Bayerische, whether a beginner or expert, Bayerische Motoren's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Bayerische Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Bayerische. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Bayerische Motoren's price trends.

Bayerische Motoren Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Bayerische Motoren pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Bayerische Motoren could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Bayerische Motoren by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Bayerische Motoren Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Bayerische Motoren pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Bayerische Motoren shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Bayerische Motoren pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Bayerische Motoren Werke entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Bayerische Motoren Risk Indicators

The analysis of Bayerische Motoren's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Bayerische Motoren's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting bayerische pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Bayerische Motoren

The number of cover stories for Bayerische Motoren depends on current market conditions and Bayerische Motoren's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Bayerische Motoren is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Bayerische Motoren's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Other Information on Investing in Bayerische Pink Sheet

Bayerische Motoren financial ratios help investors to determine whether Bayerische Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Bayerische with respect to the benefits of owning Bayerische Motoren security.