Emera Maine Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

BANGNDelisted Preferred Stock  USD 98.25  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Emera Maine PFD on the next trading day is expected to be 97.87 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.17 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.45. Emera Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A naive forecasting model for Emera Maine is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Emera Maine PFD value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Emera Maine Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 28th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Emera Maine PFD on the next trading day is expected to be 97.87 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.17, mean absolute percentage error of 0.06, and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.45.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Emera Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Emera Maine's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Emera Maine Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Emera MaineEmera Maine Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Emera Maine pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Emera Maine pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.3697
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.1713
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0018
SAESum of the absolute errors10.452
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Emera Maine PFD. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Emera Maine. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Emera Maine

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Emera Maine PFD. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
98.2598.2598.25
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
83.1483.14108.08
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
98.2598.2598.25
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Emera Maine. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Emera Maine's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Emera Maine's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Emera Maine PFD.

Emera Maine Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Emera Maine pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Emera Maine could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Emera Maine by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Emera Maine Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Emera Maine pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Emera Maine shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Emera Maine pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Emera Maine PFD entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Pair Trading with Emera Maine

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Emera Maine position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Emera Maine will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Emera Maine could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Emera Maine when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Emera Maine - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Emera Maine PFD to buy it.
The correlation of Emera Maine is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Emera Maine moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Emera Maine PFD moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Emera Maine can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.
You can also try the Instant Ratings module to determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.

Other Consideration for investing in Emera Pink Sheet

If you are still planning to invest in Emera Maine PFD check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Emera Maine's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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