CBL International Stock Forward View
| BANL Stock | 0.34 0.01 3.03% |
CBL Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although CBL International's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of CBL International's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of CBL International fundamentals over time.
As of now, the value of relative strength index of CBL International's share price is approaching 37 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling CBL International, making its price go up or down. Momentum 37
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.10) | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.04) |
Using CBL International hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of CBL International Limited from the perspective of CBL International response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of CBL International Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 0.35 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.54. CBL International after-hype prediction price | USD 0.34 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of CBL International to cross-verify your projections. CBL International Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine CBL price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for CBL using various technical indicators. When you analyze CBL charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
CBL International Cash Forecast
To forecast cash or other financial indicators, analysts must employ diverse statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. This approach allows them to detect underlying patterns in the CBL International's financial statements, predicting their influence on future market prices.
Cash | First Reported 2010-12-31 | Previous Quarter 9.2 M | Current Value 6.4 M | Quarterly Volatility 1.3 M |
CBL International Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 31st of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of CBL International Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 0.35 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0002, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.54.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict CBL Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that CBL International's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
CBL International Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest CBL International | CBL International Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
CBL International Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting CBL International's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. CBL International's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 4.23, respectively. We have considered CBL International's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of CBL International stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent CBL International stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 109.328 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0089 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0212 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.5426 |
Predictive Modules for CBL International
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CBL International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.CBL International After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of CBL International at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in CBL International or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of CBL International, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
CBL International Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting CBL International's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on CBL International's historical news coverage. CBL International's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.02 and 4.22, respectively. We have considered CBL International's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
CBL International is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of CBL International is based on 3 months time horizon.
CBL International Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as CBL International is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading CBL International backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with CBL International, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.43 | 3.88 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 9 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.34 | 0.34 | 0.00 |
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CBL International Hype Timeline
CBL International is currently traded for 0.34. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.01. CBL is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.43%. %. The volatility of related hype on CBL International is about 15203.76%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.33. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.41. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. CBL International recorded a loss per share of 0.12. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of CBL International to cross-verify your projections.CBL International Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to CBL International's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict CBL International's future price movements. Getting to know how CBL International's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how CBL International may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BRN | Barnwell Industries | 0.02 | 8 per month | 3.39 | 0.01 | 7.38 | (5.22) | 19.84 | |
| TMDE | TMD Energy Limited | 0.03 | 9 per month | 6.40 | 0.03 | 8.00 | (10.87) | 160.91 | |
| VIVK | Vivakor | (0.02) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.29) | 16.00 | (21.98) | 112.20 | |
| PTLE | PTL LTD Ordinary | (0.01) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 18.18 | (13.64) | 62.75 | |
| SKYQ | Sky Quarry | (0.05) | 8 per month | 8.64 | 0.03 | 17.65 | (14.29) | 125.89 | |
| TPET | Trio Petroleum Corp | (0.01) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 7.32 | (6.80) | 32.43 | |
| STAK | STAK Ordinary Shares | (0.02) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 10.00 | (9.30) | 30.59 | |
| RBNE | Robin Energy | (0.28) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 9.86 | (12.27) | 23.90 | |
| BATL | Battalion Oil Corp | 0.09 | 5 per month | 3.03 | 0.14 | 9.17 | (6.98) | 228.01 | |
| EONR | EON Resources | (0.01) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 9.09 | (7.27) | 22.44 |
Other Forecasting Options for CBL International
For every potential investor in CBL, whether a beginner or expert, CBL International's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. CBL Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in CBL. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying CBL International's price trends.CBL International Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with CBL International stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of CBL International could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing CBL International by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
CBL International Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how CBL International stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading CBL International shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying CBL International stock market strength indicators, traders can identify CBL International Limited entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
CBL International Risk Indicators
The analysis of CBL International's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in CBL International's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cbl stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.68 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.78 | |||
| Variance | 14.25 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for CBL International
The number of cover stories for CBL International depends on current market conditions and CBL International's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that CBL International is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about CBL International's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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CBL International Short Properties
CBL International's future price predictability will typically decrease when CBL International's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of CBL International Limited often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential CBL International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CBL International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 27.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 8 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of CBL International to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.
Is Oil & Gas Exploration & Production space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of CBL International. Projected growth potential of CBL fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive CBL International assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.10) | Earnings Share (0.12) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.04) | Return On Assets |
Understanding CBL International requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects CBL's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what CBL International's is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push CBL International's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between CBL International's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding CBL International should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, CBL International's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.