BB Fundos Fund Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| BBFO11 Fund | BRL 72.99 3.99 5.78% |
BBFO11 Fund outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast BB Fundos stock prices and determine the direction of BB Fundos De's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of BB Fundos' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength index (RSI) of BB Fundos' fund price is about 69 suggesting that the fund is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling BBFO11, making its price go up or down. Momentum 69
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using BB Fundos hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of BB Fundos De from the perspective of BB Fundos response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of BB Fundos De on the next trading day is expected to be 72.99 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.45 and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.66. BB Fundos after-hype prediction price | BRL 72.99 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
BBFO11 |
BB Fundos Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine BBFO11 price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for BBFO11 using various technical indicators. When you analyze BBFO11 charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
BB Fundos Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 24th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of BB Fundos De on the next trading day is expected to be 72.99 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.45, mean absolute percentage error of 0.65, and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.66.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict BBFO11 Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that BB Fundos' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
BB Fundos Fund Forecast Pattern
BB Fundos Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting BB Fundos' Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. BB Fundos' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 71.96 and 74.02, respectively. We have considered BB Fundos' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of BB Fundos fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent BB Fundos fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.0079 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.313 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4519 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0068 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 26.665 |
Predictive Modules for BB Fundos
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BB Fundos De. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.BB Fundos Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
As far as predicting the price of BB Fundos at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in BB Fundos or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Fund prices, such as prices of BB Fundos, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
BB Fundos Fund Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Fund such as BB Fundos is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading BB Fundos backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with BB Fundos, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.32 | 1.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
72.99 | 72.99 | 0.00 |
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BB Fundos Hype Timeline
BB Fundos De is currently traded for 72.99on Sao Paulo Exchange of Brazil. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. BBFO11 is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.32%. %. The volatility of related hype on BB Fundos is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 72.99. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out fundamental analysis of BB Fundos to check your projections.BB Fundos Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to BB Fundos' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict BB Fundos' future price movements. Getting to know how BB Fundos' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how BB Fundos may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BTWR11 | Btowers Fundo Investimento | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.29) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.90 | |
| ISTT11 | Itau Isento Setembro | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.40 | (0.04) | 0.84 | (0.92) | 4.71 | |
| KORE11 | Kinea Oportunidades Real | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.11 | 0.10 | 1.91 | (1.61) | 6.07 | |
| HGPO11 | Cshg Jhsf Prime | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.51 | (0.01) | 1.12 | (0.79) | 4.22 | |
| RPRI11 | RBR PREMIUM RECEBVEIS | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.64 | 0.04 | 1.36 | (1.17) | 4.76 | |
| VIUR11 | Vinci Imoveis Urbanos | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.15 | 0.04 | 3.25 | (2.51) | 8.36 | |
| VTPL11 | Fundo De Investimento | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.27) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.15 | |
| IAGR11 | SFI INVESTIMENTOS DO | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.50 | 0.05 | 2.57 | (1.35) | 18.38 | |
| RINV11 | REAL INVESTOR FUNDO | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.40 | 0.10 | 1.48 | (1.14) | 3.47 | |
| BTHF11 | Btg Pactual Real | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.46 | 0.18 | 2.00 | (1.15) | 4.50 |
Other Forecasting Options for BB Fundos
For every potential investor in BBFO11, whether a beginner or expert, BB Fundos' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. BBFO11 Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in BBFO11. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying BB Fundos' price trends.BB Fundos Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with BB Fundos fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of BB Fundos could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing BB Fundos by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
BB Fundos Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how BB Fundos fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading BB Fundos shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying BB Fundos fund market strength indicators, traders can identify BB Fundos De entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
BB Fundos Risk Indicators
The analysis of BB Fundos' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in BB Fundos' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting bbfo11 fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.6448 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.1828 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.02 | |||
| Variance | 1.05 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.6129 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.0334 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.74) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for BB Fundos
The number of cover stories for BB Fundos depends on current market conditions and BB Fundos' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that BB Fundos is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about BB Fundos' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in BBFO11 Fund
BB Fundos financial ratios help investors to determine whether BBFO11 Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in BBFO11 with respect to the benefits of owning BB Fundos security.
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