Beta Bionics Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| BBNX Stock | 15.96 0.55 3.33% |
Beta Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Beta Bionics' share price is approaching 32 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Beta Bionics, making its price go up or down. Momentum 32
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Current Year (1.90) | EPS Estimate Next Year (1.64) | Wall Street Target Price 31.8 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.631 |
Using Beta Bionics hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Beta Bionics Common from the perspective of Beta Bionics response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Beta Bionics using Beta Bionics' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Beta using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Beta Bionics' stock price.
Beta Bionics Short Interest
An investor who is long Beta Bionics may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Beta Bionics and may potentially protect profits, hedge Beta Bionics with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 19.9318 | Short Percent 0.1869 | Short Ratio 7.18 | Shares Short Prior Month 4 M | 50 Day MA 27.3321 |
Beta Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Beta Bionics Common on the next trading day is expected to be 13.54 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.69 and the sum of the absolute errors of 103.00.Beta Bionics Common Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Beta Bionics' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Beta. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Beta can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Beta Bionics Common. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Beta Bionics' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Beta Bionics.
Beta Bionics Implied Volatility | 1.31 |
Beta Bionics' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Beta Bionics Common stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Beta Bionics' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Beta Bionics stock will not fluctuate a lot when Beta Bionics' options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Beta Bionics Common on the next trading day is expected to be 13.54 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.69 and the sum of the absolute errors of 103.00. Beta Bionics after-hype prediction price | USD 15.96 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Beta Bionics to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Beta contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Beta Bionics Common will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0819% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Beta Bionics trading at USD 15.96, that is roughly USD 0.0131 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Beta Bionics' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Beta Bionics Common options at the current volatility level of 1.31%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Beta Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Beta Bionics' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Beta Bionics' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Beta Bionics stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Beta Bionics' open interest, investors have to compare it to Beta Bionics' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Beta Bionics is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Beta. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Beta Bionics Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Beta price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Beta using various technical indicators. When you analyze Beta charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Beta Bionics' financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 2010-12-31 | Previous Quarter 35 M | Current Value 31 M | Quarterly Volatility 2 M |
Beta Bionics Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 27th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Beta Bionics Common on the next trading day is expected to be 13.54 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.69, mean absolute percentage error of 5.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 103.00.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Beta Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Beta Bionics' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Beta Bionics Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Beta Bionics | Beta Bionics Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Beta Bionics Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Beta Bionics' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Beta Bionics' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 7.21 and 19.87, respectively. We have considered Beta Bionics' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Beta Bionics stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Beta Bionics stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 119.7214 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.6885 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0665 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 102.9988 |
Predictive Modules for Beta Bionics
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Beta Bionics Common. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Beta Bionics After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Beta Bionics at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Beta Bionics or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Beta Bionics, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Beta Bionics Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Beta Bionics' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Beta Bionics' historical news coverage. Beta Bionics' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 9.67 and 22.25, respectively. We have considered Beta Bionics' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Beta Bionics is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Beta Bionics Common is based on 3 months time horizon.
Beta Bionics Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Beta Bionics is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Beta Bionics backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Beta Bionics, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.45 | 6.33 | 0.02 | 0.08 | 13 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 13 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
15.96 | 15.96 | 0.00 |
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Beta Bionics Hype Timeline
Beta Bionics Common is currently traded for 15.96. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.08. Beta is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.45%. %. The volatility of related hype on Beta Bionics is about 3617.14%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 16.04. About 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Beta Bionics was currently reported as 6.7. The company recorded a loss per share of 1.94. Beta Bionics Common had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 13 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Beta Bionics to cross-verify your projections.Beta Bionics Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Beta Bionics' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Beta Bionics' future price movements. Getting to know how Beta Bionics' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Beta Bionics may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| STAA | STAAR Surgical | 2.29 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 5.47 | (6.71) | 15.52 | |
| TRML | Tourmaline Bio | 0.01 | 4 per month | 0.00 | 0.16 | 6.53 | (2.70) | 58.54 | |
| PLSE | Pulse Biosciences | 0.13 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 3.85 | (4.35) | 12.19 | |
| TERN | Terns Pharmaceuticals | (0.32) | 11 per month | 2.66 | 0.23 | 13.30 | (6.06) | 76.18 | |
| PGEN | Precigen | (0.09) | 10 per month | 4.66 | 0.06 | 8.52 | (7.08) | 38.64 | |
| IMTX | Immatics NV | 0.1 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 7.31 | (6.47) | 30.34 | |
| KMTS | Kestra Medical Technologies | (0.16) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 4.59 | (7.02) | 20.54 | |
| DVAX | Dynavax Technologies | 0.01 | 12 per month | 0.63 | 0.14 | 2.76 | (1.53) | 38.95 | |
| ORIC | Oric Pharmaceuticals | (0.07) | 9 per month | 3.06 | (0.02) | 6.63 | (4.36) | 15.34 | |
| AHCO | Adapthealth Corp | (0.15) | 5 per month | 2.11 | 0.02 | 4.17 | (3.17) | 24.44 |
Other Forecasting Options for Beta Bionics
For every potential investor in Beta, whether a beginner or expert, Beta Bionics' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Beta Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Beta. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Beta Bionics' price trends.Beta Bionics Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Beta Bionics stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Beta Bionics could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Beta Bionics by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Beta Bionics Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Beta Bionics stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Beta Bionics shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Beta Bionics stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Beta Bionics Common entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Beta Bionics Risk Indicators
The analysis of Beta Bionics' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Beta Bionics' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting beta stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.72 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 6.41 | |||
| Variance | 41.04 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Beta Bionics
The number of cover stories for Beta Bionics depends on current market conditions and Beta Bionics' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Beta Bionics is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Beta Bionics' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Beta Bionics Short Properties
Beta Bionics' future price predictability will typically decrease when Beta Bionics' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Beta Bionics Common often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Beta Bionics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Beta Bionics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 6.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 103.6 M |
Additional Tools for Beta Stock Analysis
When running Beta Bionics' price analysis, check to measure Beta Bionics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Beta Bionics is operating at the current time. Most of Beta Bionics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Beta Bionics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Beta Bionics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Beta Bionics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.