Brookfield Business Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| BBU-UN Stock | CAD 48.22 0.28 0.58% |
Brookfield Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Brookfield Business stock prices and determine the direction of Brookfield Business Partners's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Brookfield Business' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of today, the relative strength index (RSI) of Brookfield Business' share price is approaching 38 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Brookfield Business, making its price go up or down. Momentum 38
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.8 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.74 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.42 | Wall Street Target Price 38.5326 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.15) |
Using Brookfield Business hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Brookfield Business Partners from the perspective of Brookfield Business response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Brookfield Business Partners on the next trading day is expected to be 48.82 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 61.73. Brookfield Business after-hype prediction price | CAD 48.27 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Brookfield |
Brookfield Business Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Brookfield price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Brookfield using various technical indicators. When you analyze Brookfield charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Brookfield Business Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 21st of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Brookfield Business Partners on the next trading day is expected to be 48.82 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.00, mean absolute percentage error of 1.58, and the sum of the absolute errors of 61.73.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Brookfield Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Brookfield Business' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Brookfield Business Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Brookfield Business | Brookfield Business Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Brookfield Business Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Brookfield Business' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Brookfield Business' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 46.50 and 51.13, respectively. We have considered Brookfield Business' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Brookfield Business stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Brookfield Business stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 120.403 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.9957 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0207 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 61.7309 |
Predictive Modules for Brookfield Business
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Brookfield Business. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Brookfield Business' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Brookfield Business After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Brookfield Business at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Brookfield Business or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Brookfield Business, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Brookfield Business Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Brookfield Business' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Brookfield Business' historical news coverage. Brookfield Business' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 45.88 and 50.66, respectively. We have considered Brookfield Business' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Brookfield Business is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Brookfield Business is based on 3 months time horizon.
Brookfield Business Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Brookfield Business is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Brookfield Business backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Brookfield Business, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.10 | 2.32 | 0.03 | 0.08 | 8 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
48.22 | 48.27 | 0.10 |
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Brookfield Business Hype Timeline
Brookfield Business is currently traded for 48.22on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.08. Brookfield is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 48.27 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is estimated to be 0.1%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.1%. The volatility of related hype on Brookfield Business is about 287.13%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 48.30. The company reported the revenue of 27.94 B. Net Loss for the year was (35.22 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 5.31 B. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Brookfield Business to cross-verify your projections.Brookfield Business Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Brookfield Business' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Brookfield Business' future price movements. Getting to know how Brookfield Business' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Brookfield Business may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| EIF | Exchange Income | 0.61 | 9 per month | 0.57 | 0.28 | 3.06 | (1.64) | 5.90 | |
| ATS | ATS P | 0.38 | 8 per month | 1.81 | 0.12 | 4.09 | (2.58) | 11.33 | |
| SES | Secure Energy Services | 0.13 | 4 per month | 1.46 | 0.05 | 2.68 | (2.62) | 6.67 | |
| MDA | MDA | 1.30 | 11 per month | 2.10 | 0.24 | 6.46 | (4.59) | 20.58 | |
| AC | Air Canada | (0.07) | 9 per month | 1.65 | 0.07 | 3.74 | (3.12) | 10.06 | |
| HPS-A | Hammond Power Solutions | 4.31 | 6 per month | 2.24 | 0.13 | 4.73 | (4.67) | 11.92 | |
| DIV | Diversified Royalty Corp | (0.02) | 7 per month | 0.46 | 0.22 | 1.57 | (1.00) | 3.28 | |
| BDGI | Badger Infrastructure Solutions | 1.97 | 6 per month | 1.93 | (0.02) | 3.01 | (3.87) | 9.94 | |
| RUS | Russel Metals | (0.31) | 8 per month | 1.67 | 0.16 | 2.15 | (1.14) | 12.23 | |
| DE | Decisive Dividend Corp | (0.22) | 4 per month | 0.77 | 0.03 | 2.19 | (1.35) | 6.15 |
Other Forecasting Options for Brookfield Business
For every potential investor in Brookfield, whether a beginner or expert, Brookfield Business' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Brookfield Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Brookfield. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Brookfield Business' price trends.Brookfield Business Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Brookfield Business stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Brookfield Business could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Brookfield Business by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Brookfield Business Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Brookfield Business stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Brookfield Business shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Brookfield Business stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Brookfield Business Partners entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Brookfield Business Risk Indicators
The analysis of Brookfield Business' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Brookfield Business' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting brookfield stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.81 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.11 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.37 | |||
| Variance | 5.63 | |||
| Downside Variance | 5.01 | |||
| Semi Variance | 4.46 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.98) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Brookfield Business
The number of cover stories for Brookfield Business depends on current market conditions and Brookfield Business' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Brookfield Business is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Brookfield Business' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Brookfield Business Short Properties
Brookfield Business' future price predictability will typically decrease when Brookfield Business' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Brookfield Business Partners often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Brookfield Business' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Brookfield Business' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 86.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 16 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Brookfield Business to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Funds Screener module to find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges.