Boutique Public Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

BC Stock  THB 0.80  0.02  2.56%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Boutique Public on the next trading day is expected to be 0.80 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.86. Boutique Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
As of now the value of rsi of Boutique Public's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Boutique Public's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Boutique Public, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Boutique Public hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Boutique Public from the perspective of Boutique Public response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Boutique Public on the next trading day is expected to be 0.80 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.86.

Boutique Public after-hype prediction price

    
  THB 0.8  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Boutique Public to cross-verify your projections.

Boutique Public Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Boutique price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Boutique using various technical indicators. When you analyze Boutique charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Triple exponential smoothing for Boutique Public - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Boutique Public prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Boutique Public price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Boutique Public.

Boutique Public Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 25th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Boutique Public on the next trading day is expected to be 0.80 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0004, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.86.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Boutique Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Boutique Public's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Boutique Public Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Boutique PublicBoutique Public Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Boutique Public Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Boutique Public's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Boutique Public's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 3.31, respectively. We have considered Boutique Public's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.80
0.80
Expected Value
3.31
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Boutique Public stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Boutique Public stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0028
MADMean absolute deviation0.0143
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.019
SAESum of the absolute errors0.8587
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Boutique Public observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Boutique Public observations.

Predictive Modules for Boutique Public

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Boutique Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.040.803.31
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.030.663.17
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Boutique Public. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Boutique Public's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Boutique Public's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Boutique Public.

Boutique Public After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Boutique Public at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Boutique Public or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Boutique Public, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Boutique Public Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Boutique Public's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Boutique Public's historical news coverage. Boutique Public's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.04 and 3.31, respectively. We have considered Boutique Public's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.80
0.80
After-hype Price
3.31
Upside
Boutique Public is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Boutique Public is based on 3 months time horizon.

Boutique Public Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Boutique Public is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Boutique Public backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Boutique Public, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.09 
2.51
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.80
0.80
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Boutique Public Hype Timeline

Boutique Public is currently traded for 0.80on Thailand Exchange of Thailand. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Boutique is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.09%. %. The volatility of related hype on Boutique Public is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.80. About 74.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.25. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Boutique Public recorded a loss per share of 0.29. The entity last dividend was issued on the 27th of December 2019. The firm had 3748:3725 split on the 15th of February 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Boutique Public to cross-verify your projections.

Boutique Public Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Boutique Public's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Boutique Public's future price movements. Getting to know how Boutique Public's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Boutique Public may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
CHEWAChewathai Public 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.13) 6.25 (7.41) 21.88 
DHOUSEDhouse Pattana Public 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.03) 5.13 (5.13) 17.69 
RICHYRichy Place 2002 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.12) 7.14 (6.67) 22.22 
CICharn Issara Development 0.00 0 per month 2.62 (0.02) 3.23 (6.06) 22.16 
MJDMajor Development Public 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.18) 3.13 (3.03) 9.58 
SAMCOSammakorn Public 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.24) 2.74 (4.29) 8.81 
JCKJCK International Public 0.00 0 per month 5.79  0.04  10.00 (9.09) 32.05 
ARINArinsiri Land Public 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.02) 9.09 (6.78) 44.23 
B52B 52 Capital Public 0.00 0 per month 4.38  0.04  12.50 (9.52) 39.96 
EVEREverland Public 0.00 0 per month 10.54  0.08  25.00 (20.00) 45.00 

Other Forecasting Options for Boutique Public

For every potential investor in Boutique, whether a beginner or expert, Boutique Public's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Boutique Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Boutique. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Boutique Public's price trends.

Boutique Public Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Boutique Public stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Boutique Public could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Boutique Public by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Boutique Public Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Boutique Public stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Boutique Public shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Boutique Public stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Boutique Public entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Boutique Public Risk Indicators

The analysis of Boutique Public's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Boutique Public's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting boutique stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Boutique Public

The number of cover stories for Boutique Public depends on current market conditions and Boutique Public's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Boutique Public is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Boutique Public's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Other Information on Investing in Boutique Stock

Boutique Public financial ratios help investors to determine whether Boutique Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Boutique with respect to the benefits of owning Boutique Public security.