BacTech Environmental OTC Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing
| BCCEF Stock | USD 0.03 0 4.76% |
BacTech OTC Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of BacTech Environmental's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 29th of January 2026, the value of RSI of BacTech Environmental's share price is approaching 48 suggesting that the otc stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling BacTech Environmental, making its price go up or down. Momentum 48
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
It is a matter of debate whether otc price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of BacTech Environmental based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. Using BacTech Environmental hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of BacTech Environmental from the perspective of BacTech Environmental response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of BacTech Environmental on the next trading day is expected to be 0.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.10. BacTech Environmental after-hype prediction price | USD 0.03 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as otc price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
BacTech |
BacTech Environmental Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine BacTech price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for BacTech using various technical indicators. When you analyze BacTech charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
BacTech Environmental Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 30th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of BacTech Environmental on the next trading day is expected to be 0.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0000058, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.10.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict BacTech OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that BacTech Environmental's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
BacTech Environmental OTC Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest BacTech Environmental | BacTech Environmental Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
BacTech Environmental Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting BacTech Environmental's OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. BacTech Environmental's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0003 and 9.62, respectively. We have considered BacTech Environmental's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of BacTech Environmental otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent BacTech Environmental otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 1.0E-4 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0017 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0654 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.1002 |
Predictive Modules for BacTech Environmental
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BacTech Environmental. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of BacTech Environmental's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
BacTech Environmental After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of BacTech Environmental at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in BacTech Environmental or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of OTC Stock prices, such as prices of BacTech Environmental, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
BacTech Environmental Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting BacTech Environmental's otc stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on BacTech Environmental's historical news coverage. BacTech Environmental's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 9.54, respectively. We have considered BacTech Environmental's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
BacTech Environmental is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of BacTech Environmental is based on 3 months time horizon.
BacTech Environmental OTC Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a OTC Stock such as BacTech Environmental is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading BacTech Environmental backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the OTC price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with BacTech Environmental, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.45 | 9.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.03 | 0.03 | 0.00 |
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BacTech Environmental Hype Timeline
BacTech Environmental is currently traded for 0.03. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. BacTech is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.45%. %. The volatility of related hype on BacTech Environmental is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.03. About 14.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.26. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. BacTech Environmental recorded a loss per share of 0.01. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1:5 split on the 22nd of July 2014. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of BacTech Environmental to cross-verify your projections.BacTech Environmental Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to BacTech Environmental's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict BacTech Environmental's future price movements. Getting to know how BacTech Environmental's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how BacTech Environmental may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CLGPF | Clean Seed Capital | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 48.52 | |
| ENPRF | Current Water Technologies | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 115.00 | |
| XERI | Xeriant | 0.00 | 0 per month | 8.47 | 0.04 | 28.57 | (13.33) | 73.08 | |
| DNDDF | Dundee Sustainable Technologies | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.11 | |
| SNAVF | Star Navigation Systems | 0.00 | 0 per month | 5.69 | 0.04 | 19.57 | (14.81) | 69.89 | |
| HYEG | Hydrogen Engine Center | 0.00 | 0 per month | 17.72 | 0.13 | 57.02 | (30.88) | 2,774 | |
| GTMAY | Grupo TMM SAB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.14 | 29.00 | (3.65) | 1,011 | |
| MPHYF | McPhy Energy SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 900.00 | |
| GLKFF | Raise Production | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 20.00 | |
| OATN | OAT Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 154.33 |
Other Forecasting Options for BacTech Environmental
For every potential investor in BacTech, whether a beginner or expert, BacTech Environmental's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. BacTech OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in BacTech. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying BacTech Environmental's price trends.BacTech Environmental Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with BacTech Environmental otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of BacTech Environmental could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing BacTech Environmental by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
BacTech Environmental Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how BacTech Environmental otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading BacTech Environmental shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying BacTech Environmental otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify BacTech Environmental entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.95 | |||
| Day Median Price | 0.03 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 0.03 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.0008) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 48.69 |
BacTech Environmental Risk Indicators
The analysis of BacTech Environmental's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in BacTech Environmental's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting bactech otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 6.23 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 7.46 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 9.29 | |||
| Variance | 86.36 | |||
| Downside Variance | 96.53 | |||
| Semi Variance | 55.7 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (9.76) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for BacTech Environmental
The number of cover stories for BacTech Environmental depends on current market conditions and BacTech Environmental's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that BacTech Environmental is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about BacTech Environmental's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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BacTech Environmental Short Properties
BacTech Environmental's future price predictability will typically decrease when BacTech Environmental's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of BacTech Environmental often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential BacTech Environmental's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BacTech Environmental's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 141.3 M | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 160 K | |
| Shares Float | 142.6 M |
Other Information on Investing in BacTech OTC Stock
BacTech Environmental financial ratios help investors to determine whether BacTech OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in BacTech with respect to the benefits of owning BacTech Environmental security.