Becle SA Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

BCCLF Stock  USD 1.22  0.03  2.52%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Becle SA de on the next trading day is expected to be 1.22 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.14. Becle Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Becle SA's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 25th of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Becle SA's share price is below 20 suggesting that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Becle SA's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Becle SA and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Becle SA's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Becle SA de, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Becle SA hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Becle SA de from the perspective of Becle SA response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Becle SA de on the next trading day is expected to be 1.22 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.14.

Becle SA after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 1.22  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Becle SA to cross-verify your projections.

Becle SA Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Becle price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Becle using various technical indicators. When you analyze Becle charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Becle SA is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Becle SA de value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Becle SA Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 26th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Becle SA de on the next trading day is expected to be 1.22 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.14.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Becle Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Becle SA's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Becle SA Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Becle SABecle SA Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Becle SA Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Becle SA's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Becle SA's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 6.48, respectively. We have considered Becle SA's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1.22
1.22
Expected Value
6.48
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Becle SA pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Becle SA pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria111.9715
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0351
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0292
SAESum of the absolute errors2.1434
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Becle SA de. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Becle SA. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Becle SA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Becle SA de. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.061.226.48
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.051.046.30
Details

Becle SA After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Becle SA at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Becle SA or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Becle SA, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Becle SA Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Becle SA's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Becle SA's historical news coverage. Becle SA's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.06 and 6.48, respectively. We have considered Becle SA's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
1.22
1.22
After-hype Price
6.48
Upside
Becle SA is extremely dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Becle SA de is based on 3 months time horizon.

Becle SA Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Becle SA is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Becle SA backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Becle SA, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.03 
5.26
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
1.22
1.22
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Becle SA Hype Timeline

Becle SA de is currently traded for 1.22. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Becle is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.03%. %. The volatility of related hype on Becle SA is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.22. The book value of the company was currently reported as 15.52. The company last dividend was issued on the 2nd of August 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next expected press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Becle SA to cross-verify your projections.

Becle SA Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Becle SA's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Becle SA's future price movements. Getting to know how Becle SA's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Becle SA may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
KCDMFKimberly Clark de Mxico 0.00 0 per month 1.32  0.06  5.26 (3.24) 13.84 
GPAGFGruma SAB de 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.02  0.00  0.00  25.58 
KCDMYKimberly Clark de Mexico 0.00 0 per month 1.38  0.12  3.06 (2.55) 10.78 
CUYTFEtn Fr Colruyt 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
BICEYSocit BIC SA 0.00 0 per month 2.13  0.02  2.33 (2.35) 9.86 
TSRYFTreasury Wine Estates 0.00 0 per month 2.42  0  6.67 (5.33) 19.15 
UNLRFPT Unilever Indonesia 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.03  0.00  0.00  33.19 
UNLRYUnilever Indonesia Tbk 0.00 0 per month 2.19  0.11  9.75 (5.14) 22.13 
EDVGFEndeavour Group Limited 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.08  0.00  0.00  10.74 
MEJHYMeiji Holdings Co 0.00 0 per month 2.79  0.09  6.75 (5.00) 19.32 

Other Forecasting Options for Becle SA

For every potential investor in Becle, whether a beginner or expert, Becle SA's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Becle Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Becle. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Becle SA's price trends.

Becle SA Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Becle SA pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Becle SA could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Becle SA by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Becle SA Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Becle SA pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Becle SA shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Becle SA pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Becle SA de entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Becle SA Risk Indicators

The analysis of Becle SA's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Becle SA's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting becle pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Becle SA

The number of cover stories for Becle SA depends on current market conditions and Becle SA's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Becle SA is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Becle SA's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Other Information on Investing in Becle Pink Sheet

Becle SA financial ratios help investors to determine whether Becle Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Becle with respect to the benefits of owning Becle SA security.