Bucher Industries OTC Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

BCHHF Stock  USD 444.66  0.00  0.00%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Bucher Industries AG on the next trading day is expected to be 444.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.60 and the sum of the absolute errors of 35.39. Bucher OTC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Bucher Industries' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Bucher Industries works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Bucher Industries Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 26th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Bucher Industries AG on the next trading day is expected to be 444.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.60, mean absolute percentage error of 21.19, and the sum of the absolute errors of 35.39.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Bucher OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Bucher Industries' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Bucher Industries OTC Stock Forecast Pattern

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Bucher Industries Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Bucher Industries' OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Bucher Industries' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 443.54 and 445.78, respectively. We have considered Bucher Industries' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
444.66
443.54
Downside
444.66
Expected Value
445.78
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Bucher Industries otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Bucher Industries otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.5989
MADMean absolute deviation0.5998
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0014
SAESum of the absolute errors35.3864
When Bucher Industries AG prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Bucher Industries AG trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Bucher Industries observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Bucher Industries

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bucher Industries. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
443.53444.66445.79
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
442.54443.67444.80
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
436.82453.75470.68
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Bucher Industries. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Bucher Industries' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Bucher Industries' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Bucher Industries.

Other Forecasting Options for Bucher Industries

For every potential investor in Bucher, whether a beginner or expert, Bucher Industries' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Bucher OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Bucher. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Bucher Industries' price trends.

Bucher Industries Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Bucher Industries otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Bucher Industries could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Bucher Industries by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Bucher Industries Technical and Predictive Analytics

The otc stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Bucher Industries' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Bucher Industries' current price.

Bucher Industries Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Bucher Industries otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Bucher Industries shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Bucher Industries otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Bucher Industries AG entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Bucher Industries Risk Indicators

The analysis of Bucher Industries' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Bucher Industries' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting bucher otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Bucher OTC Stock

Bucher Industries financial ratios help investors to determine whether Bucher OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Bucher with respect to the benefits of owning Bucher Industries security.