Bain Capital Stock Forward View - 4 Period Moving Average
| BCSF Stock | USD 13.66 -0.15 -1.09% |
4 Period Moving Average is applied to Bain Capital Specialty's daily closing prices, and the resulting forecast is presented with accuracy metrics. Wide deviation between fitted and observed values suggests the model's assumptions may not match current market conditions. The 4 Period Moving Average model projects Bain Capital at 13.77 for the next trading day, above the most recent closing price. This 4 Period Moving Average output is provided as analytical reference and does not constitute a trading recommendation.
4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 11th of May 2026
Over a 90-day horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average model forecasts Bain Capital at 13.77 for the next trading day, with a mean absolute deviation of 0.20 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.02 , and sum of absolute errors of 11.64 .This represents a very tight forecast — the model closely tracks Bain Capital's recent price behavior. This output is intended for short-term analytical reference.
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Bain Capital | Bain Capital Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
The next-day forecast range for Bain Capital defines statistically derived downside and upside boundaries based on model performance. The model places downside around 12.16 and upside around 15.38 for the next session. The wide range indicates elevated uncertainty in short-term projections.
Model Predictive Factors
The table below summarizes the 4 Period Moving Average model's error metrics for Bain Capital stock. Lower MAD and MAPE values indicate tighter forecast accuracy. AIC measures relative model quality — lower values indicate less information loss and a better-fitting model. A large Bias suggests systematic over- or under-prediction.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 108.0632 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0266 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2042 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0158 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 11.6375 |
Other Forecasting Options for Bain Capital
The distribution of Bain Capital's daily returns is typically non-normal, with fatter tails than a Gaussian model predicts. This reveals hidden support and resistance zones in Bain Capital's chart that simple price charts miss.Bain Capital Related Equities
These stocks are related to Bain Capital within the Financials space and can be used for peer review, pricing, or spreading risk. Revenue and margin checks across this group help investors set expectations for Bain Capital's results.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Bain Capital Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators for Bain Capital stock provide a framework for assessing security responsiveness. A rising Accumulation/Distribution line alongside rising price confirms institutional buying interest in Bain Capital.
Bain Capital Risk Indicators
Assessing Bain Capital's risk indicators is a structured way to evaluate the risk-return trade-off for bain capital stock. The level of risk embedded in Bain Capital's feeds directly into exposure calibration.
| Mean Deviation | 1.3 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.5 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.62 | |||
| Variance | 2.64 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.81 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.26 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -1.46 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Bain Capital Short Properties
Short sentiment tied to Bain Capital Specialty matters because heavier bearish pressure can change how quickly future price expectations become unstable. A disciplined short-interest review can make timing decisions more informed under rising skepticism.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 64.82 million | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 135.34 million |