Bancorp Of Pink Sheet Forward View - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| BCSO Stock | USD 60.00 1.00 1.69% |
Bancorp Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of today the relative strength index (rsi) of Bancorp Of's share price is below 20 suggesting that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Bancorp Of hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Bancorp of Southern from the perspective of Bancorp Of response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Bancorp of Southern on the next trading day is expected to be 60.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.15 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.06. Bancorp Of after-hype prediction price | USD 60.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Bancorp |
Bancorp Of Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Bancorp price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Bancorp using various technical indicators. When you analyze Bancorp charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Bancorp Of Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 9th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Bancorp of Southern on the next trading day is expected to be 60.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.15, mean absolute percentage error of 0.87, and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.06.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Bancorp Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Bancorp Of's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Bancorp Of Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Bancorp Of | Bancorp Of Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Bancorp Of Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Bancorp Of's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Bancorp Of's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 58.29 and 61.71, respectively. We have considered Bancorp Of's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Bancorp Of pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Bancorp Of pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.1536 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1536 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0026 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 9.06 |
Predictive Modules for Bancorp Of
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bancorp of Southern. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Bancorp Of's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Bancorp Of After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Bancorp Of at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Bancorp Of or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Bancorp Of, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Bancorp Of Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Bancorp Of's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Bancorp Of's historical news coverage. Bancorp Of's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 58.29 and 61.71, respectively. We have considered Bancorp Of's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Bancorp Of is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Bancorp of Southern is based on 3 months time horizon.
Bancorp Of Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Bancorp Of is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Bancorp Of backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Bancorp Of, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.27 | 1.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
60.00 | 60.00 | 0.00 |
|
Bancorp Of Hype Timeline
Bancorp of Southern is currently traded for 60.00. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Bancorp is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.27%. %. The volatility of related hype on Bancorp Of is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 60.00. The company last dividend was issued on the 16th of December 2022. Bancorp of Southern had 3:1 split on the 31st of May 2016. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Bancorp Of to cross-verify your projections.Bancorp Of Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Bancorp Of's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Bancorp Of's future price movements. Getting to know how Bancorp Of's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Bancorp Of may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SRYB | Surrey Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| CFGW | Community Financial Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| IFHI | West Town Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| CNUN | Community Bancshares | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| CZNB | Citizens Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| GABK | Grand Bank Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| TRBK | Traditions Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.29 | (0.01) | 4.86 | (4.69) | 24.60 | |
| CCVS | Citizens Commerce Bancshares | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| FISB | 1st Capital Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| MYBF | Muncy Bank Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for Bancorp Of
For every potential investor in Bancorp, whether a beginner or expert, Bancorp Of's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Bancorp Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Bancorp. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Bancorp Of's price trends.Bancorp Of Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Bancorp Of pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Bancorp Of could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Bancorp Of by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Bancorp Of Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Bancorp Of pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Bancorp Of shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Bancorp Of pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Bancorp of Southern entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.02 | |||
| Day Median Price | 60.0 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 60.0 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.5 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 1.0 |
Bancorp Of Risk Indicators
The analysis of Bancorp Of's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Bancorp Of's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting bancorp pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.4986 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.68 | |||
| Variance | 2.83 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Bancorp Of
The number of cover stories for Bancorp Of depends on current market conditions and Bancorp Of's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Bancorp Of is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Bancorp Of's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Story Categories
Currently Trending Categories
Other Information on Investing in Bancorp Pink Sheet
Bancorp Of financial ratios help investors to determine whether Bancorp Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Bancorp with respect to the benefits of owning Bancorp Of security.